Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zaqatala PFK vs Sabail

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

I Liqa
Wed, Oct 14, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zaqatala PFK host Sabail in the I Liqa. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Zaqatala PFK at 1.03 goals for, 1.73 against; Sabail at 1.6 for, 0.8 against. Head-to-head, Zaqatala PFK have won 0 to Sabail's 5, with 0 draws. They last met on May 6, 2026, ending 0:3. The numbers (0.88 xG vs 2.63) point toward Sabail. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Zaqatala PFK
30%
Draws
37%
Sabail
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sabail

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Sabail carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Sabail taking it.
  • Regular I Liqa form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Sabail have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Zaqatala PFK Clean Sheet 10%
Sabail Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zaqatala PFK Sabail
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 15
Draws 5 9
Losses 17 6
Goals Scored 1.03 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.73 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 I Liqa
Zaqatala PFK vs Sabail
0:3
Feb 5, 2026 I Liqa
Zaqatala PFK vs Sabail
0:1
Oct 15, 2025 I Liqa
Sabail vs Zaqatala PFK
1:0
Dec 10, 2021 Azerbaijan Cup
Zaqatala PFK vs Sabail
1:3
Jan 24, 2021 Azerbaijan Cup
Sabail vs Zaqatala PFK
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zaqatala PFK 18 / 100
Sabail 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zaqatala PFK Sabail

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sabail Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Zaqatala PFK scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Zaqatala PFK stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Sabail let in goals in 43% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Zaqatala PFK VS Sabail
1 Goals Scored 2.5
2.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Zaqatala PFK

(Home)
16 Sept
Karvan
3 : 0
Zaqatala PFK
10 Sept
Zaqatala PFK
3 : 0
Baku Sporting
04 Sept
Mingachevir
2 : 2
Zaqatala PFK
22 May
Zaqatala PFK
2 : 1
Safa Baku
15 May
Baku Sporting
3 : 0
Zaqatala PFK
Page 1 of 6

Sabail

(Away)
17 Sept
Baku Sporting
0 : 1
Sabail
10 Sept
Sabail
2 : 1
Mingachevir
03 Sept
FC Khankendi
1 : 1
Sabail
22 May
Mingachevir
4 : 1
Sabail
15 May
Sabail
0 : 0
Sahdag Qusar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sahdag Qusar 3 3 0 0 7:1 9
2 Gancabasar 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
3 Sabail 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
4 Karvan 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
5 MOIK Baku 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
6 Zaqatala PFK 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
7 FC Khankendi 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
8 Mingachevir 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
9 Shimal 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
10 Baku Sporting 3 0 0 3 0:7 0
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa (Relegation)