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Zaqatala PFK vs Shimal Prediction & H2H Stats

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

I Liqa 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Shahbazly C.
27' Event
Babazada A.
33' Event
Ange Gla D.

AI Match Summary

The I Liqa 2025/2026 game between Zaqatala PFK and Shimal finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shimal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Zaqatala PFK
20%
Draws
40%
Shimal
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Shimal haven't matched Zaqatala PFK's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Zaqatala PFK taking it.
  • Regular I Liqa 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Zaqatala PFK Clean Sheet 12%
Shimal Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zaqatala PFK Shimal
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 6
Draws 5 5
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 1.07 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.66 2.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2026 I Liqa
Shimal vs Zaqatala PFK
0:0
Mar 5, 2026 I Liqa
Zaqatala PFK vs Shimal
3:4
Nov 26, 2025 I Liqa
Shimal vs Zaqatala PFK
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zaqatala PFK Compare

Top Goalscorer Babazada A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Shabanov R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Shimal Compare

Top Goalscorer Osmanov N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Shahbazly C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zaqatala PFK 40 / 100
Shimal 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zaqatala PFK Shimal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shimal let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.67 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Zaqatala PFK scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Zaqatala PFK went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zaqatala PFK VS Shimal
1 Goals Scored 1
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Zaqatala PFK

(Home)
16 Sept
Karvan
3 : 0
Zaqatala PFK
10 Sept
Zaqatala PFK
3 : 0
Baku Sporting
04 Sept
Mingachevir
2 : 2
Zaqatala PFK
22 May
Zaqatala PFK
2 : 1
Safa Baku
15 May
Baku Sporting
3 : 0
Zaqatala PFK
Page 1 of 6

Shimal

(Away)
17 Sept
Shimal
1 : 4
Sahdag Qusar
11 Sept
MOIK Baku
1 : 1
Shimal
04 Sept
Shimal
1 : 2
Gancabasar
27 May
Shimal
2 : 1
Lokbatan
21 May
Gancabasar
2 : 3
Shimal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Safa Baku 27 16 9 2 52:21 57
2 Mingachevir 27 15 6 6 55:27 51
3 Sabail 27 14 8 5 46:21 50
4 Baku Sporting 27 13 10 4 40:23 49
5 Sahdag Qusar 27 12 7 8 36:27 43
6 MOIK Baku 27 9 6 12 33:40 33
7 Zaqatala PFK 27 8 4 15 27:44 28
8 Gancabasar 27 7 3 17 40:56 24
9 Shimal 27 5 5 17 23:61 20
10 Difai Agsu 27 4 6 17 28:60 18
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa 2025/2026 (Relegation)