Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zaqatala PFK vs SumQayit FK

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Azerbaijan Cup
Zaqatala PFK Logo

Zaqatala PFK

0 - 3
FT
SumQayit FK Logo

SumQayit FK

Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Ramalingom A.
34' Event
Ahmadzada N.
85' Event
Jankovic A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-3. The second leg ended 0-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Zaqatala PFK
30%
Draws
16%
SumQayit FK
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Zaqatala PFK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Zaqatala PFK carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Zaqatala PFK are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Zaqatala PFK have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor SumQayit FK, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors SumQayit FK here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Zaqatala PFK Clean Sheet 10%
SumQayit FK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zaqatala PFK SumQayit FK
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 8 7
Draws 5 6
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 1.07 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2025 Azerbaijan Cup
Zaqatala PFK vs SumQayit FK
0:3
Dec 4, 2019 Azerbaijan Cup
SumQayit FK vs Zaqatala PFK
2:0
Apr 25, 2015 Premier League
SumQayit FK vs Zaqatala PFK
1:0
Feb 19, 2015 Premier League
Zaqatala PFK vs SumQayit FK
1:1
Dec 7, 2014 Premier League
SumQayit FK vs Zaqatala PFK
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zaqatala PFK Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

SumQayit FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramalingom A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ahmadzada N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zaqatala PFK 47 / 100
SumQayit FK 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zaqatala PFK SumQayit FK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zaqatala PFK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zaqatala PFK found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

SumQayit FK let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Zaqatala PFK remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Zaqatala PFK VS SumQayit FK
1 Goals Scored 1.38
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Zaqatala PFK

(Home)
16 Sept
Karvan
3 : 0
Zaqatala PFK
10 Sept
Zaqatala PFK
3 : 0
Baku Sporting
04 Sept
Mingachevir
2 : 2
Zaqatala PFK
22 May
Zaqatala PFK
2 : 1
Safa Baku
15 May
Baku Sporting
3 : 0
Zaqatala PFK
Page 1 of 6

SumQayit FK

(Away)
20 Sept
Kapaz
1 : 1
SumQayit FK
12 Sept
SumQayit FK
1 : 1
Shamakhi
06 Sept
Turan
2 : 1
SumQayit FK
31 Aug
SumQayit FK
0 : 1
Qarabag Agdam
16 Aug
SumQayit FK
1 : 3
Neftci Baku
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Sabail 0
Shamakhi 1
Goygol 0
Baku Sporting 2
Qarabag Agdam -
TBD -
Karvan 3
Sheki City 1
Lokbatan 2
Imisli FK 3
TBD -
Sabah Baku -
Gabala 5
Mingachevir 1
Gancabasar 0
Safa Baku 3
Shimal 0
Sahdag Qusar 2
Dinamo Baki 0
Turan 5
Araz PFK -
TBD -
Kapaz 6
Agstafa Gencleri 1
FC Khankendi 1
Difai Agsu 2
Zaqatala PFK 0
SumQayit FK 3
Zira FK -
TBD -
Neftci Baku 6
MOIK Baku 2
1/8-finals
Shamakhi 1
Baku Sporting 0
Qarabag Agdam 3
Karvan 0
Imisli FK 1
Sabah Baku 2
Gabala 2
Safa Baku 1
Sahdag Qusar 1
Turan 2
Araz PFK 0
Kapaz 1
Difai Agsu 1
SumQayit FK 3
Zira FK 1
Neftci Baku 0
Quarter-finals
Shamakhi 3
Qarabag Agdam 4
Sabah Baku 4
Gabala 3
Turan 3
Kapaz 0
SumQayit FK 0
Zira FK 2
Semi-finals
Qarabag Agdam 3
Sabah Baku 4
Turan 0
Zira FK 2
Final
Sabah Baku 2
Zira FK 1