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Zarautz KE vs Basconia

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Tercera Division - Group 4 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 4 2011/2012 game between Zarautz KE and Basconia finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Basconia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Zarautz KE
35%
Draws
39%
Basconia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Basconia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Zarautz KE haven't matched Basconia's recent run of results.
  • Basconia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 4 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Basconia have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Zarautz KE Clean Sheet 10%
Basconia Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zarautz KE Basconia
Matches Played 32 38
Wins 7 16
Draws 5 14
Losses 20 8
Goals Scored 0.91 1.74
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Zarautz KE vs Basconia
1:2
Dec 30, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Basconia vs Zarautz KE
3:1
Mar 19, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Basconia vs Zarautz KE
2:0
Nov 6, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Zarautz KE vs Basconia
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zarautz KE 10 / 100
Basconia 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zarautz KE Basconia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Basconia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Basconia let in goals in 71% of their last 38 matches.

Zarautz KE's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Zarautz KE has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Zarautz KE VS Basconia
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Zarautz KE

(Home)
09 May
Zarautz KE
0 : 1
Derio
03 May
Zamudio
0 : 2
Zarautz KE
25 Apr
Touring KE
2 : 2
Zarautz KE
19 Apr
Zarautz KE
0 : 1
Santurtzi
11 Apr
Alaves C
5 : 1
Zarautz KE
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Basconia

(Away)
15 Aug
Rayo Cantabria
3 : 3
Basconia
08 Aug
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
2 : 1
Basconia
03 May
Basconia
5 : 1
SD Ejea
26 Apr
Basconia
0 : 0
Gernika Club
18 Apr
Sestao
2 : 2
Basconia
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Laudio 38 24 5 9 70:24 77
2 Barakaldo 38 22 10 6 58:29 76
3 Portugalete 38 21 11 6 60:29 74
4 Beasain 38 20 12 6 58:34 72
5 Zalla UC 38 20 12 6 57:34 72
6 Gernika Club 38 18 10 10 50:37 64
7 SCD Durango 38 18 9 11 49:41 63
8 Leioa 38 12 19 7 45:37 55
9 Zamudio 38 14 12 12 42:43 54
10 Basconia 38 13 8 17 67:67 47
11 Lagun Onak 38 10 16 12 29:31 46
12 Elgoibar 38 12 9 17 41:49 45
13 Eibar B 38 10 14 14 36:46 44
14 Arenas Getxo 38 11 10 17 45:46 43
15 Santutxu FC 38 9 13 16 36:56 40
16 Balmaseda 38 8 16 14 48:57 40
17 Alaves B 38 11 7 20 49:71 40
18 CD Vitoria 38 6 13 19 43:66 31
19 Hernani 38 6 8 24 31:71 26
20 Zarautz KE 38 4 8 26 28:74 20
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)