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Zarautz KE vs Baskonia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 4 2008/2009
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AI Match Summary

Zarautz KE in this Tercera Division - Group 4 2008/2009 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zarautz KE.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Zarautz KE
30%
Draws
39%
Baskonia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Baskonia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Baskonia have won more games recently than Zarautz KE.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 4 2008/2009 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Zarautz KE Clean Sheet 17%
Baskonia Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zarautz KE Baskonia
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 5 12
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 0.97 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Zarautz KE vs Baskonia
3:1
Dec 20, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Baskonia vs Zarautz KE
4:4
May 18, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Zarautz KE vs Baskonia
2:1
Jan 5, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Baskonia vs Zarautz KE
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zarautz KE 31 / 100
Baskonia 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zarautz KE Baskonia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baskonia has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.75 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Zarautz KE scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Zarautz KE remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Zarautz KE VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Zarautz KE

(Home)
09 May
Zarautz KE
0 : 1
Derio
03 May
Zamudio
0 : 2
Zarautz KE
25 Apr
Touring KE
2 : 2
Zarautz KE
19 Apr
Zarautz KE
0 : 1
Santurtzi
11 Apr
Alaves C
5 : 1
Zarautz KE
Page 1 of 6

Baskonia

(Away)
08 May
Eibar B
4 : 3
Baskonia
02 May
Baskonia
0 : 0
Real Sociedad B
24 Apr
Amorebieta
3 : 0
Baskonia
17 Apr
Baskonia
3 : 3
Retuerto Sport
11 Apr
Leioa
0 : 2
Baskonia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lagun Onak 38 21 10 7 51:25 73
2 Amurrio Club 38 21 10 7 63:27 73
3 Elgoibar 38 19 13 6 54:32 70
4 Portugalete 38 20 10 8 54:35 70
5 Beasain 38 20 10 8 68:38 70
6 Gernika Club 38 15 11 12 45:35 56
7 Baskonia 38 14 14 10 50:51 56
8 Laudio 38 11 17 10 39:43 50
9 Zamudio 38 11 16 11 42:38 49
10 Amorebieta 38 13 9 16 59:59 48
11 Leioa 38 12 11 15 38:45 47
12 Arenas Getxo 38 11 14 13 38:43 47
13 Zalla UC 38 12 10 16 35:53 46
14 Santurtzi 38 12 10 16 36:45 46
15 Eibar B 38 9 17 12 32:35 44
16 SCD Durango 38 11 10 17 44:50 43
17 Zarautz KE 38 10 12 16 45:51 42
18 Ordizia 38 10 10 18 35:61 40
19 Alaves B 38 7 11 20 31:53 32
20 San Ignacio 38 2 13 23 25:65 19
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)