Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 4 2008/2009

Ordizia

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Zarautz KE play Ordizia in the Tercera Division - Group 4 2008/2009. It looks like a close match. Recently, Zarautz KE averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.77 conceded. Ordizia averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. In past meetings, Zarautz KE won 0, Ordizia won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 18, 2009 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Zarautz KE and 1.38 for Ordizia. This points to a Ordizia double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Zarautz KE

28%

Draws

42%

Ordizia

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Ordizia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence

Zarautz KE picked up more points recently compared to Ordizia.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 1.38 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 79%

Over 2.5 Goals 61%

Over 3.5 Goals 37%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%

Zarautz KE Clean Sheet 17%

Ordizia Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 71%

Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Zarautz KE	Ordizia
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	7	5
Draws	5	12
Losses	18	13
Goals Scored	0.97	1.13
Goals Conceded	1.77	1.93

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

Zarautz KE vs Ordizia

Possession: 47% - 47% Cards: 3 - 1

1:3

Sep 6, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

Ordizia vs Zarautz KE

Possession: 51% - 57% Cards: 1 - 3

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zarautz KE 30 / 100

Ordizia 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Zarautz KE Ordizia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ordizia or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +36.5%

4.55

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.82

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Zarautz KE attacking → ← attacking Ordizia

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zarautz KE scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Ordizia let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Zarautz KE went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Ordizia lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 27

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Lagun Onak	38	21	10	7	51:25	73
2	Amurrio Club	38	21	10	7	63:27	73
3	Elgoibar	38	19	13	6	54:32	70
4	Portugalete	38	20	10	8	54:35	70
5	Beasain	38	20	10	8	68:38	70
6	Gernika Club	38	15	11	12	45:35	56
7	Baskonia	38	14	14	10	50:51	56
8	Laudio	38	11	17	10	39:43	50
9	Zamudio	38	11	16	11	42:38	49
10	Amorebieta	38	13	9	16	59:59	48
11	Leioa	38	12	11	15	38:45	47
12	Arenas Getxo	38	11	14	13	38:43	47
13	Zalla UC	38	12	10	16	35:53	46
14	Santurtzi	38	12	10	16	36:45	46
15	Eibar B	38	9	17	12	32:35	44
16	SCD Durango	38	11	10	17	44:50	43
17	Zarautz KE	38	10	12	16	45:51	42
18	Ordizia	38	10	10	18	35:61	40
19	Alaves B	38	7	11	20	31:53	32
20	San Ignacio	38	2	13	23	25:65	19