Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zarautz KE vs Pasaia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Olasagasti Guillen O.
64' Event
Arrizabalaga Agirre P.
71' Event
Oihan C.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 game between Zarautz KE and Pasaia finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pasaia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Zarautz KE
20%
Draws
57%
Pasaia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pasaia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Zarautz KE haven't matched Pasaia's recent run of results.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Pasaia taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Zarautz KE Clean Sheet 23%
Pasaia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zarautz KE Pasaia
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 5 8
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 0.97 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Zarautz KE vs Pasaia
0:3
Nov 8, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Pasaia vs Zarautz KE
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zarautz KE Compare

Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Pasaia Compare

Top Goalscorer Olasagasti Guillen O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Arrizabalaga Agirre P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zarautz KE 29 / 100
Pasaia 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zarautz KE Pasaia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pasaia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Zarautz KE scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Pasaia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Zarautz KE remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Zarautz KE VS Pasaia
0.83 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
33% Over 2.5 50%
33% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Zarautz KE

(Home)
09 May
Zarautz KE
0 : 1
Derio
03 May
Zamudio
0 : 2
Zarautz KE
25 Apr
Touring KE
2 : 2
Zarautz KE
19 Apr
Zarautz KE
0 : 1
Santurtzi
11 Apr
Alaves C
5 : 1
Zarautz KE
Page 1 of 6

Pasaia

(Away)
03 Oct
Pasaia
1 : 0
Santurtzi
27 Sept
San Ignacio
1 : 2
Pasaia
19 Sept
Pasaia
3 : 2
Real Sociedad C
13 Sept
Leioa
1 : 1
Pasaia
05 Sept
Pasaia
0 : 2
SD Erandio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugalete 34 24 6 4 70:29 78
2 Leioa 34 18 7 9 50:34 61
3 Derio 34 17 7 10 54:40 58
4 Lagun Onak 34 17 6 11 54:34 57
5 Touring KE 34 16 9 9 47:35 57
6 Real Sociedad C 34 17 4 13 48:39 55
7 San Ignacio 34 16 7 11 37:27 55
8 Aurrera de Vitoria 34 16 6 12 42:41 54
9 Alaves C 34 15 8 11 57:40 53
10 UD Aretxabaleta 34 13 6 15 56:61 45
11 SCD Durango 34 11 11 12 35:36 44
12 Santurtzi 34 9 12 13 32:45 39
13 Eibar C 34 9 9 16 44:53 36
14 Pasaia 34 9 9 16 26:46 36
15 Anorga 34 11 4 19 37:59 34
16 Zamudio 34 9 6 19 42:59 33
17 Zarautz KE 34 8 6 20 30:60 30
18 SD Deusto 34 6 7 21 26:49 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 (Play Offs)