Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zarautz KE vs Zamudio

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Fernandez I.
77' Event
Alfageme U.

AI Match Summary

Zarautz KE in this Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zarautz KE.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Zarautz KE
20%
Draws
40%
Zamudio
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Zamudio at 1.2 per game, Zarautz KE at 0.97.
  • Win probability leans Zarautz KE's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Zarautz KE Clean Sheet 10%
Zamudio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zarautz KE Zamudio
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 7
Draws 5 5
Losses 18 18
Goals Scored 0.97 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Zamudio vs Zarautz KE
0:2
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Zarautz KE vs Zamudio
2:0
Mar 10, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Zarautz KE vs Zamudio
1:2
Oct 22, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Zamudio vs Zarautz KE
3:1
Jan 8, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Zamudio vs Zarautz KE
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zarautz KE Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alfageme U.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Zamudio Compare

Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zarautz KE 40 / 100
Zamudio 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zarautz KE Zamudio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Zarautz KE scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Zamudio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Difficult form: Zamudio registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zarautz KE VS Zamudio
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Zarautz KE

(Home)
09 May
Zarautz KE
0 : 1
Derio
03 May
Zamudio
0 : 2
Zarautz KE
25 Apr
Touring KE
2 : 2
Zarautz KE
19 Apr
Zarautz KE
0 : 1
Santurtzi
11 Apr
Alaves C
5 : 1
Zarautz KE
Page 1 of 6

Zamudio

(Away)
09 May
UD Aretxabaleta
3 : 1
Zamudio
03 May
Zamudio
0 : 2
Zarautz KE
26 Apr
Zamudio
1 : 1
Santurtzi
16 Apr
Real Sociedad C
3 : 1
Zamudio
12 Apr
Zamudio
7 : 0
Pasaia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugalete 34 24 6 4 70:29 78
2 Leioa 34 18 7 9 50:34 61
3 Derio 34 17 7 10 54:40 58
4 Lagun Onak 34 17 6 11 54:34 57
5 Touring KE 34 16 9 9 47:35 57
6 Real Sociedad C 34 17 4 13 48:39 55
7 San Ignacio 34 16 7 11 37:27 55
8 Aurrera de Vitoria 34 16 6 12 42:41 54
9 Alaves C 34 15 8 11 57:40 53
10 UD Aretxabaleta 34 13 6 15 56:61 45
11 SCD Durango 34 11 11 12 35:36 44
12 Santurtzi 34 9 12 13 32:45 39
13 Eibar C 34 9 9 16 44:53 36
14 Pasaia 34 9 9 16 26:46 36
15 Anorga 34 11 4 19 37:59 34
16 Zamudio 34 9 6 19 42:59 33
17 Zarautz KE 34 8 6 20 30:60 30
18 SD Deusto 34 6 7 21 26:49 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 (Play Offs)