Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zarzis vs Esperance Tunis

Tunisia Tunisia

Tunisia Cup Stade Olympique Hammadi Agrebi, Radès
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
17'
18'
Sub
Nyengue D. In: Oluwaseun A.
Out: Nyengue D.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Zarzis
15%
Draws
39%
Esperance Tunis
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zarzis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Esperance Tunis have won more games recently than Zarzis.
  • Win probability leans Zarzis's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Esperance Tunis arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Esperance Tunis, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.200000000000003%
Zarzis Clean Sheet 68%
Esperance Tunis Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zarzis Esperance Tunis
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 11 20
Draws 7 8
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 0.97 1.45
Goals Conceded 0.9 0.55
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Tunisia Cup
Zarzis vs Esperance Tunis
0:1
Apr 23, 2026 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Esperance Tunis vs Zarzis
2:2
Oct 22, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Zarzis vs Esperance Tunis
0:0
May 18, 2025 Tunisia Cup
Esperance Tunis vs Zarzis
3:1
Feb 19, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Esperance Tunis vs Zarzis
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zarzis Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Esperance Tunis Compare

Top Goalscorer Rafia H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zarzis 77 / 100
Esperance Tunis 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zarzis Esperance Tunis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Zarzis went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Zarzis found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Esperance Tunis's defensive record shows goals conceded in 39% of 33 matches.

Scoring Trends

Zarzis VS Esperance Tunis
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.38
50% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Zarzis

(Home)
31 May
Zarzis
0 : 1
Esperance Tunis
24 May
CS Sfaxien
0 : 1
Zarzis
20 May
Zarzis
2 : 0
CA Bizertin
13 May
CA Bizertin
0 : 2
Zarzis
09 May
Zarzis
1 : 0
Metlaoui
Page 1 of 6

Esperance Tunis

(Away)
08 Aug
Esperance Tunis
1 : 2
AS Marsa
06 Aug
Esperance Tunis
1 : 0
San Pedro
04 Aug
Esperance Tunis
2 : 2
Al Hazem Rass
31 May
Zarzis
0 : 1
Esperance Tunis
24 May
Jeunesse Sportive
0 : 1
Esperance Tunis
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
JS Kairouan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
CS Sfaxien -
Feriana -
TBD -
Hamam-Sousse 2
Jendouba Sport 3
Moknine 1
Sfax Railways 3
TBD -
ES Fahs -
CO Kram -
TBD -
AS Agareb 3
Sporting Ben Arous 2
Nefza -
TBD -
Stade Gabesien 2
Hammam-Lif 0
Gafsa Ksar -
TBD -
TBD -
Jebel Jeloud -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Etoile Sahel -
Monastir -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Club Africain -
Zarzis -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
MS Metlaoui -
TBD -
Korba 6
Kalaa 2
CA Bizertin -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AS Marsa -
Msaken 3
Sidi Bouzid 1
US Tataouine 3
Megrine 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ben Guerdane -
Bouchamma 1
Kerkennah 3
Ariana 0
PS Sakiet Eddaier 1
Sahline -
TBD -
TBD -
Oued Ellil -
Mornag -
TBD -
TBD -
Hassi Amor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Olympique Beja -
Ajim Djerba -
TBD -
Redeyef 1
Djelma 2
Chebika -
TBD -
EM Mahdia 2
Kasserine 1
Jeunesse Sportive -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sportive Kebili -
TBD -
TBD -
Guettar -
BS Bouhajla 1
Chebba 0
TBD -
Rades -
Ksour Essef -
TBD -
Menzel Bourguiba 1
Gafsa 2
Soliman -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stade Tunisien -
Metlaoui -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AS Gabes -
WS Hamma -
TBD -
TBD -
Stir Zarzouna -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Esperance Tunis -
1/32-finals
JS Kairouan -
TBD -
TBD -
CS Sfaxien -
Feriana 1
Jendouba Sport 3
Sfax Railways -
ES Fahs -
CO Kram 2
AS Agareb 3
Nefza 0
Stade Gabesien 2
Gafsa Ksar 1
Jebel Jeloud 0
TBD -
Etoile Sahel -
Monastir -
TBD -
TBD -
Club Africain -
Zarzis -
TBD -
MS Metlaoui 0
Korba 2
CA Bizertin -
TBD -
TBD -
AS Marsa -
Msaken 3
US Tataouine 2
TBD -
Ben Guerdane -
Kerkennah 1
PS Sakiet Eddaier 2
Sahline 2
Oued Ellil 1
Mornag 3
Hassi Amor 2
TBD -
Olympique Beja -
Ajim Djerba 2
Djelma 0
Chebika 0
EM Mahdia 4
Jeunesse Sportive -
TBD -
Sportive Kebili 1
Guettar 0
BS Bouhajla 3
Rades 0
Ksour Essef 2
Gafsa 0
Soliman -
TBD -
TBD -
Stade Tunisien -
Metlaoui -
TBD -
TBD -
AS Gabes -
WS Hamma 1
Stir Zarzouna 0
TBD -
Esperance Tunis -
1/16-finals
JS Kairouan 0
CS Sfaxien 1
Jendouba Sport 2
Sfax Railways 0
AS Agareb 1
Stade Gabesien 4
Gafsa Ksar 0
Etoile Sahel 5
Monastir 1
Club Africain 0
Zarzis 1
Korba 0
CA Bizertin 3
AS Marsa 2
Msaken 4
Ben Guerdane 1
PS Sakiet Eddaier 6
Sahline 0
Mornag 1
Olympique Beja 2
Ajim Djerba 2
EM Mahdia 0
Jeunesse Sportive 1
Sportive Kebili 0
BS Bouhajla 2
Ksour Essef 1
Soliman 3
Stade Tunisien 2
Metlaoui 5
AS Gabes 2
WS Hamma 0
Esperance Tunis 5
1/8-finals
CS Sfaxien 2
Jendouba Sport 1
Stade Gabesien 4
Etoile Sahel 3
Monastir 1
Zarzis 2
CA Bizertin 2
Msaken 1
PS Sakiet Eddaier 2
Olympique Beja 1
Ajim Djerba 0
Jeunesse Sportive 2
BS Bouhajla 2
Soliman 1
Metlaoui 1
Esperance Tunis 3
Quarter-finals
CS Sfaxien 2
Stade Gabesien 1
Zarzis 2
CA Bizertin 0
PS Sakiet Eddaier 1
Jeunesse Sportive 2
BS Bouhajla 0
Esperance Tunis 3
Semi-finals
CS Sfaxien 0
Zarzis 1
Jeunesse Sportive 0
Esperance Tunis 1
Final
Zarzis 0
Esperance Tunis 1