Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zarzis vs Metlaoui

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 Abdessalem Kazouz Stadium, Zarzis
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Jertila M.
15'
21'
Sub
Jertila M. In: Rahmani M.
Out: Jertila M.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 game between Zarzis and Metlaoui finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zarzis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Zarzis
15%
Draws
42%
Metlaoui
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zarzis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Zarzis carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Zarzis a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22.8%
Zarzis Clean Sheet 68%
Metlaoui Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zarzis Metlaoui
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 6 11
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 0.93 0.79
Goals Conceded 0.83 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Zarzis vs Metlaoui
1:0
Nov 9, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Metlaoui vs Zarzis
0:0
Apr 6, 2025 Tunisia Cup
Metlaoui vs Zarzis
0:2
Feb 9, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Metlaoui vs Zarzis
1:0
Sep 29, 2024 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Zarzis vs Metlaoui
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zarzis Compare

Top Goalscorer Jertila M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Metlaoui Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zarzis 50 / 100
Metlaoui 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zarzis Metlaoui

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zarzis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Away concern: Metlaoui has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Zarzis scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Metlaoui conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Zarzis VS Metlaoui
1.38 Goals Scored 0.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Zarzis

(Home)
20 Sept
Club Africain
1 : 0
Zarzis
16 Sept
Zarzis
1 : 2
Monastir
12 Sept
Diambars de Saly
1 : 0
Zarzis
04 Sept
Zarzis
3 : 1
Diambars de Saly
29 Aug
CS Sfaxien
2 : 1
Zarzis
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Metlaoui

(Away)
13 Sept
Jeunesse Sportive
1 : 0
Metlaoui
06 Sept
Metlaoui
1 : 0
Hamam-Sousse
30 Aug
Etoile Sahel
2 : 1
Metlaoui
23 Aug
Metlaoui
0 : 1
Club Africain
17 May
Metlaoui
1 : 3
Esperance Tunis
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Africain 30 19 9 2 43:10 66
2 Esperance Tunis 30 18 9 3 45:11 63
3 CS Sfaxien 30 18 8 4 44:13 62
4 Stade Tunisien 30 12 12 6 28:14 48
5 Monastir 30 11 12 7 28:19 45
6 Zarzis 30 11 8 11 30:28 41
7 Etoile Sahel 30 11 8 11 28:30 41
8 Metlaoui 30 9 13 8 19:25 40
9 Jeunesse Sportive 30 10 6 14 24:33 36
10 Ben Guerdane 30 8 11 11 18:22 35
11 AS Marsa 30 11 2 17 26:33 35
12 CA Bizertin 30 8 9 13 18:29 33
13 Olympique Beja 30 9 5 16 18:39 32
14 JS Kairouan 30 9 4 17 20:41 31
15 Soliman 30 6 9 15 15:31 27
16 AS Gabes 30 3 9 18 11:37 18
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)