Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zavrc vs NK Brezice

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - East 2025/2026 Zavrč Sports Park, Zavrc
Zavrc Logo

Zavrc

1 - 0
FT
NK Brezice Logo

NK Brezice

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3. SNL - East 2025/2026 game between Zavrc and NK Brezice finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zavrc.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Zavrc
20%
Draws
16%
NK Brezice
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Zavrc

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

16% / Low Confidence
  • NK Brezice carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 16% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Zavrc Clean Sheet 10%
NK Brezice Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zavrc NK Brezice
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 14
Draws 3 6
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.31 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.52
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 3. SNL - East
NK Brezice vs Zavrc
6:0
Nov 8, 2025 3. SNL - East
Zavrc vs NK Brezice
1:0
Apr 26, 2025 3. SNL - East
Zavrc vs NK Brezice
1:1
Oct 12, 2024 3. SNL - East
NK Brezice vs Zavrc
4:0
May 18, 2024 3. SNL - East
NK Brezice vs Zavrc
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zavrc 34 / 100
NK Brezice 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zavrc NK Brezice

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NK Brezice Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Attacking prowess: Zavrc scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

NK Brezice has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Difficult form: NK Brezice registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zavrc VS NK Brezice
1 Goals Scored 2.38
2.67 Goals Conceded 1.38
83% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Zavrc

(Home)
23 May
NK Brezice
6 : 0
Zavrc
16 May
NK Carda Martjanci
2 : 1
Zavrc
09 May
Zavrc
1 : 1
Race
30 Apr
Podvinci
2 : 3
Zavrc
25 Apr
Zavrc
1 : 4
Fuzinar
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NK Brezice

(Away)
16 Sept
Triglav
4 : 0
NK Brezice
12 Sept
Bistrica
2 : 1
NK Brezice
05 Sept
NK Brezice
1 : 1
Dravinja
28 Aug
Tabor Sezana
1 : 0
NK Brezice
15 Aug
NK Brezice
1 : 2
Vrhnika
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SD Videm 24 16 4 4 58:32 52
2 NK Brezice 24 15 5 4 43:25 50
3 Korotan Prevalje 24 11 6 7 37:34 39
4 NK Carda Martjanci 24 11 4 9 49:39 37
5 Fuzinar 24 10 6 8 50:33 36
6 Hajdina 24 10 5 9 29:31 35
7 Zavrc 24 10 3 11 31:37 33
8 NK Smartno 24 9 6 9 38:36 33
9 Podvinci 24 8 6 10 26:28 30
10 Race 24 6 10 8 28:30 28
11 Rogaska 24 6 8 10 32:36 26
12 Ljutomer 24 3 9 12 35:53 18
13 Dobrovce 24 3 4 17 22:64 13
14 Drava 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - 2. SNL (Main)