Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zavrc vs NK Smartno

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - East 2025/2026 Zavrč Sports Park, Zavrc
Zavrc Logo

Zavrc

2 - 0
FT
NK Smartno Logo

NK Smartno

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3. SNL - East 2025/2026 game between Zavrc and NK Smartno finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zavrc.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Zavrc
20%
Draws
51%
NK Smartno
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: NK Smartno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Zavrc come out ahead of NK Smartno on wins alone.
  • NK Smartno are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Zavrc Clean Sheet 10%
NK Smartno Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zavrc NK Smartno
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 13 10
Draws 3 7
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.31 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 15, 2025 3. SNL - East
Zavrc vs NK Smartno
2:0
Aug 17, 2025 3. SNL - East
NK Smartno vs Zavrc
3:2
Apr 16, 2025 3. SNL - East
NK Smartno vs Zavrc
1:2
Oct 23, 2024 3. SNL - East
Zavrc vs NK Smartno
2:1
May 11, 2024 3. SNL - East
Zavrc vs NK Smartno
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zavrc 10 / 100
NK Smartno 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zavrc NK Smartno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NK Smartno Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Zavrc's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

NK Smartno has conceded goals in 67% of their last 27 outings.

Solid form: Zavrc remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Zavrc VS NK Smartno
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Zavrc

(Home)
23 May
NK Brezice
6 : 0
Zavrc
16 May
NK Carda Martjanci
2 : 1
Zavrc
09 May
Zavrc
1 : 1
Race
30 Apr
Podvinci
2 : 3
Zavrc
25 Apr
Zavrc
1 : 4
Fuzinar
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NK Smartno

(Away)
29 Aug
NK Smartno
3 : 0
SD Videm
22 Aug
Korotan Prevalje
0 : 0
NK Smartno
15 Aug
NK Smartno
2 : 4
NK Ormoz
23 May
NK Smartno
0 : 1
Race
16 May
Podvinci
0 : 2
NK Smartno
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SD Videm 24 16 4 4 58:32 52
2 NK Brezice 24 15 5 4 43:25 50
3 Korotan Prevalje 24 11 6 7 37:34 39
4 NK Carda Martjanci 24 11 4 9 49:39 37
5 Fuzinar 24 10 6 8 50:33 36
6 Hajdina 24 10 5 9 29:31 35
7 Zavrc 24 10 3 11 31:37 33
8 NK Smartno 24 9 6 9 38:36 33
9 Podvinci 24 8 6 10 26:28 30
10 Race 24 6 10 8 28:30 28
11 Rogaska 24 6 8 10 32:36 26
12 Ljutomer 24 3 9 12 35:53 18
13 Dobrovce 24 3 4 17 22:64 13
14 Drava 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - 2. SNL (Main)