Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zebbug vs St. Andrews

Malta Malta

Challenge League 2025/2026 Centenary Stadium, Ta' Qali
Our Tip

Match Events

66' Event
Opajobi O.
68' Event
Costa C.
(Penalty)
90'
Elizeu

AI Match Summary

Zebbug in this Challenge League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zebbug.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Zebbug
30%
Draws
8%
St. Andrews
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Zebbug

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Zebbug haven't matched St. Andrews's recent run of results.
  • Zebbug are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Zebbug Clean Sheet 19%
St. Andrews Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zebbug St. Andrews
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 12
Draws 5 4
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 0.97 1.31
Goals Conceded 2.41 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Challenge League
Zebbug vs St. Andrews
2:1
Apr 6, 2025 Challenge League
Zebbug vs St. Andrews
2:5
Jan 5, 2025 Challenge League
Zebbug vs St. Andrews
2:0
Mar 2, 2024 Challenge League
Zebbug vs St. Andrews
1:1
Oct 22, 2023 Challenge League
St. Andrews vs Zebbug
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zebbug Compare

Top Goalscorer Opajobi O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chetcuti I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

St. Andrews Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zebbug 85 / 100
St. Andrews 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zebbug St. Andrews

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zebbug Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Andrews has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Zebbug remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: St. Andrews has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Zebbug VS St. Andrews
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Zebbug

(Home)
13 Sept
Zebbug
0 : 4
Fgura
18 Apr
Zebbug
1 : 1
Marsa
11 Apr
Vittoriosa
0 : 1
Zebbug
04 Apr
Gudja
1 : 2
Zebbug
15 Mar
Zurrieq
3 : 3
Zebbug
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St. Andrews

(Away)
13 Sept
Victoria Hotspurs
3 : 0
St. Andrews
19 Apr
Pieta
2 : 2
St. Andrews
11 Apr
St. Andrews
0 : 1
Swieqi
04 Apr
St. Andrews
1 : 3
Birzebbuga
14 Mar
Melita
3 : 0
St. Andrews
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Balzan FC 15 11 2 2 37:10 35
2 Melita 15 10 2 3 36:17 32
3 Birzebbuga 15 10 1 4 29:15 31
4 Sirens 15 9 2 4 39:19 29
5 Swieqi 15 9 2 4 32:23 29
6 Fgura 15 8 1 6 33:24 25
7 Pieta 15 7 3 5 27:21 24
8 St. Andrews 15 7 2 6 19:23 23
9 Mgarr 15 6 4 5 28:24 22
10 Gudja 15 5 7 3 16:13 22
11 Santa Lucia 15 4 6 5 27:25 18
12 Zurrieq 15 4 2 9 21:27 14
13 Vittoriosa 15 3 3 9 17:24 12
14 Marsa 15 2 4 9 18:28 8
15 Zebbug 15 2 2 11 9:37 8
16 Mtarfa 15 1 1 13 9:67 -2
Promotion - Challenge League 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Challenge League 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)