Sport Picks

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Zebbug vs St. Andrews

Malta Malta

Challenge League Centenary Stadium, Ta' Qali
Our Tip

Match Events

66' Event
Opajobi O.
68' Event
Costa C.
(Penalty)
90'
Elizeu

AI Match Summary

Zebbug in this Challenge League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zebbug.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Zebbug
6%
Draws
4%
St. Andrews
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Zebbug

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Zebbug haven't matched St. Andrews's recent run of results.
  • Zebbug are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Zebbug Clean Sheet 15%
St. Andrews Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zebbug St. Andrews
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 13
Draws 5 4
Losses 19 13
Goals Scored 1.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.75 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Challenge League
Zebbug vs St. Andrews
2:1
Apr 6, 2025 Challenge League
Zebbug vs St. Andrews
2:5
Jan 5, 2025 Challenge League
Zebbug vs St. Andrews
2:0
Mar 2, 2024 Challenge League
Zebbug vs St. Andrews
1:1
Oct 22, 2023 Challenge League
St. Andrews vs Zebbug
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zebbug Compare

Top Goalscorer Opajobi O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chetcuti I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

St. Andrews Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zebbug 84 / 100
St. Andrews 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zebbug St. Andrews

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZEB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Andrews has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Zebbug found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Zebbug remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Zebbug VS St. Andrews
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Zebbug

(Home)
18 Apr
Zebbug
1 : 1
Marsa
11 Apr
Vittoriosa
0 : 1
Zebbug
04 Apr
Gudja
1 : 2
Zebbug
15 Mar
Zurrieq
3 : 3
Zebbug
08 Mar
Zebbug
0 : 2
Mgarr
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St. Andrews

(Away)
19 Apr
Pieta
2 : 2
St. Andrews
11 Apr
St. Andrews
0 : 1
Swieqi
04 Apr
St. Andrews
1 : 3
Birzebbuga
14 Mar
Melita
3 : 0
St. Andrews
07 Mar
St. Andrews
0 : 3
Sirens
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Balzan FC15112237:1035
2Melita15102336:1732
3Birzebbuga15101429:1531
4Sirens1592439:1929
5Swieqi1592432:2329
6Fgura1581633:2425
7Pieta1573527:2124
8St. Andrews1572619:2323
9Mgarr1564528:2422
10Gudja1557316:1322
11Santa Lucia1546527:2518
12Zurrieq1542921:2714
13Vittoriosa1533917:2412
14Marsa1524918:288
15Zebbug1522119:378
16Mtarfa1511139:67-2
Promotion - Challenge League (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Challenge League (Relegation Group)