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ZED FC vs El Gouna

Egypt Egypt

Premier League Arab Contractors Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
El Gazar O.
23'
El Gazar O.
27'
Sub
Emad M. In: Ibrahim H.
Out: Emad M.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between ZED FC and El Gouna finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
ZED FC
44%
Draws
20%
El Gouna
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • ZED FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
ZED FC Clean Sheet 20%
El Gouna Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ZED FC El Gouna
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 10 12
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.63 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.25 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Premier League
ZED FC vs El Gouna
2:2
Aug 30, 2025 Premier League
El Gouna vs ZED FC
1:1
Apr 11, 2025 Premier League
ZED FC vs El Gouna
1:2
Oct 31, 2024 Premier League
El Gouna vs ZED FC
0:0
Apr 22, 2024 Premier League
ZED FC vs El Gouna
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ZED FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Saber M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

El Gouna Compare

Top Goalscorer Gamal A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Khaled A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ZED FC 36 / 100
El Gouna 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ZED FC El Gouna

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: ZED FC scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

El Gouna has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: ZED FC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

ZED FC VS El Gouna
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
8Wadi Degla1366119:953
9ZED FC1355318:1549
10National Bank Egypt1364320:1648
11El Gouna1346310:946
12Petrojet1355318:1545
13Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)1348115:1038
14Ghazl El Mahallah1347215:1138
15Modern Sport132838:1037
16El Gaish134367:1037
17Al Ittihad Alexandria1337314:1436
18Kahrabaa Ismailia1337313:1632
19Haras El Hodood1316611:1926
20Pharco FC132477:1325
21El Ismaily131664:1220