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ZED FC vs El Gouna - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Egypt Egypt

Premier League 2025/2026 Arab Contractors Stadium, Cairo
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Match Events

10'
El Gazar O.
23'
El Gazar O.
27'
Sub
Emad M. In: Ibrahim H.
Out: Emad M.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between ZED FC and El Gouna finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
ZED FC
30%
Draws
12%
El Gouna
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: ZED FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • ZED FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • ZED FC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 53%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
ZED FC Clean Sheet 68%
El Gouna Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ZED FC El Gouna
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 13 6
Draws 10 13
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.26 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 0.87 0.66
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Premier League
ZED FC vs El Gouna
2:2
Aug 30, 2025 Premier League
El Gouna vs ZED FC
1:1
Apr 11, 2025 Premier League
ZED FC vs El Gouna
1:2
Oct 31, 2024 Premier League
El Gouna vs ZED FC
0:0
Apr 22, 2024 Premier League
ZED FC vs El Gouna
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ZED FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Saber M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.67
Avg xA / game 0.43

El Gouna Compare

Top Goalscorer Gamal A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Khaled A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.6
Avg xA / game 0.37

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ZED FC 95 / 100
El Gouna 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ZED FC El Gouna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZED FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: ZED FC scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

El Gouna has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: ZED FC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

ZED FC VS El Gouna
0.88 Goals Scored 0.43
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.86
63% Over 1.5 43%
13% Over 2.5 14%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

ZED FC

(Home)
07 Oct
Zamalek
0 : 3
ZED FC
17 Sept
ZED FC
2 : 1
Al Qanah
12 Sept
ASAS
1 : 1
ZED FC
09 Sept
Enppi
2 : 1
ZED FC
06 Sept
ZED FC
4 : 0
ASAS
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El Gouna

(Away)
16 Sept
El Gouna
1 : 2
Petrojet
09 Sept
Pyramids
1 : 0
El Gouna
02 Sept
El Gouna
0 : 1
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
28 Aug
Al Qanah
1 : 1
El Gouna
23 Aug
El Gouna
1 : 1
Modern Sport
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
8 Wadi Degla 13 6 6 1 19:9 53
9 ZED FC 13 5 5 3 18:15 49
10 National Bank Egypt 13 6 4 3 20:16 48
11 El Gouna 13 4 6 3 10:9 46
12 Petrojet 13 5 5 3 18:15 45
13 Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) 13 4 8 1 15:10 38
14 Ghazl El Mahallah 13 4 7 2 15:11 38
15 Modern Sport 13 2 8 3 8:10 37
16 El Gaish 13 4 3 6 7:10 37
17 Al Ittihad Alexandria 13 3 7 3 14:14 36
18 Kahrabaa Ismailia 13 3 7 3 13:16 32
19 Haras El Hodood 13 1 6 6 11:19 26
20 Pharco FC 13 2 4 7 7:13 25
21 El Ismaily 13 1 6 6 4:12 20
Relegation - Division 2 A (Main)