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Zejtun vs Swieqi

Malta Malta

Challenge League 2023/2024
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Match Events

8' Event
Blandon R.

AI Match Summary

Swieqi in this Challenge League 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Swieqi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Zejtun
35%
Draws
52%
Swieqi
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Swieqi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Swieqi lately — more wins on the board than Zejtun.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Zejtun Clean Sheet 10%
Swieqi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zejtun Swieqi
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 9 21
Draws 9 7
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.07 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2024 Challenge League
Zejtun vs Swieqi
0:1
Dec 10, 2023 Challenge League
Zejtun vs Swieqi
0:1
Dec 4, 2022 Challenge League
Zejtun vs Swieqi
3:0
Apr 18, 2020 Challenge League
Swieqi vs Zejtun
0:0
Jan 11, 2020 Challenge League
Zejtun vs Swieqi
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zejtun Compare

Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Swieqi Compare

Top Goalscorer Blandon R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.81
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zejtun 34 / 100
Swieqi 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zejtun Swieqi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Swieqi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Swieqi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 36 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Attacking prowess: Zejtun scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Zejtun has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Swieqi
0 Goals Scored 2.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Zejtun

(Home)
28 Apr
Zebbug
1 : 0
Zejtun
21 Apr
Zejtun
0 : 1
Swieqi
14 Apr
Fgura
1 : 1
Zejtun
05 Apr
Lija
1 : 0
Zejtun
17 Mar
Zejtun
1 : 1
Luqa
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Swieqi

(Away)
18 Sept
Swieqi
3 : 2
Pieta
12 Sept
Attard
3 : 3
Swieqi
23 Apr
Swieqi
1 : 2
Birzebbuga
19 Apr
Swieqi
1 : 1
Fgura
11 Apr
St. Andrews
0 : 1
Swieqi
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zabbar 15 10 3 2 21:9 33
2 Melita 15 9 4 2 32:21 31
3 Senglea 15 8 5 2 20:9 29
4 Marsa 15 8 4 3 32:17 28
5 Pieta 15 8 3 4 23:13 27
6 Zurrieq 15 8 3 4 18:17 27
7 Fgura 15 8 2 5 32:25 26
8 Lija 15 6 4 5 26:24 22
9 Swieqi 15 5 6 4 18:16 21
10 Tarxien 15 3 8 4 16:14 17
11 Zejtun 15 4 5 6 17:18 17
12 Luqa 15 4 4 7 21:24 16
13 St. Andrews 15 3 2 10 14:28 11
14 Zebbug 15 2 4 9 11:27 10
15 Attard 15 1 5 9 14:33 8
16 Msida 15 2 0 13 9:29 6
Promotion - Challenge League 2023/2024 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Challenge League 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)