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Zeledon vs Herediano

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Primera Division 2025/2026 Estadio Municipal Pérez Zeledón, San Isidro de El General
Our Tip

Match Events

40'
Rodriguez R.
50'
Montes G.
57'
Sub
Canales J. In: Christopher D.
Out: Canales J.

AI Match Summary

Herediano in this Primera Division 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Herediano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Zeledon
6%
Draws
90%
Herediano
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Herediano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Herediano lately — more wins on the board than Zeledon.
  • Model gives Herediano a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Herediano have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 41%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Zeledon Clean Sheet 15%
Herediano Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zeledon Herediano
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 4 18
Draws 11 4
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 0.71 0.88
Goals Conceded 2.14 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.71 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.14 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2026 Primera Division
Zeledon vs Herediano
0:1
Mar 1, 2026 Primera Division
Herediano vs Zeledon
3:0
Dec 7, 2025 Primera Division
Zeledon vs Herediano
1:3
Aug 17, 2025 Primera Division
Herediano vs Zeledon
2:1
Mar 27, 2025 Primera Division
Herediano vs Zeledon
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zeledon Compare

Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.35

Herediano Compare

Top Goalscorer Montes G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zeledon 10 / 100
Herediano 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zeledon Herediano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zeledon scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Herediano let in goals in 43% of their last 28 matches.

Zeledon has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Zeledon VS Herediano
0.71 Goals Scored 0.88
2.14 Goals Conceded 0.38
57% Over 1.5 25%
43% Over 2.5 25%
43% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Zeledon

(Home)
25 Jul
Saprissa
5 : 1
Zeledon
25 Apr
San Carlos
1 : 1
Zeledon
23 Apr
Zeledon
0 : 1
Herediano
18 Apr
Guadalupe
1 : 0
Zeledon
12 Apr
Zeledon
3 : 3
Puntarenas FC
Page 1 of 6

Herediano

(Away)
24 Jul
Herediano
1 : 1
Puntarenas FC
18 Jul
Herediano
1 : 0
Saprissa
12 Jul
Alajuelense
0 : 1
Herediano
17 May
Herediano
2 : 0
Saprissa
14 May
Saprissa
2 : 1
Herediano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Herediano18122426:1038
2Saprissa18104434:1934
3Liberia18103524:1833
4Cartagines18102626:2032
5Alajuelense1875628:2026
6Sporting FC1864816:2122
7San Carlos1863921:2521
8Puntarenas FC18441022:2916
9Zeledon1828819:3014
10Guadalupe18351013:3714
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)