Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zeleznicar Lajkovac vs FK Sumadija 1903 Kragujevac

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - West
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zeleznicar Lajkovac play FK Sumadija 1903 Kragujevac in the Srpska Liga - West. It looks like a close match. Recently, Zeleznicar Lajkovac averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1 conceded. FK Sumadija 1903 Kragujevac averaged 0.97 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. In past meetings, Zeleznicar Lajkovac won 2, FK Sumadija 1903 Kragujevac won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 26, 2026 ended 4:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Zeleznicar Lajkovac and 1.44 for FK Sumadija 1903 Kragujevac. This points to a Zeleznicar Lajkovac double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Zeleznicar Lajkovac
32%
Draws
32%
FK Sumadija 1903 Kragujevac
Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: Zeleznicar Lajkovac

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Zeleznicar Lajkovac picked up more points recently compared to FK Sumadija 1903 Kragujevac.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
Zeleznicar Lajkovac Clean Sheet 16%
FK Sumadija 1903 Kragujevac Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 61%
Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zeleznicar Lajkovac FK Sumadija 1903 Kragujevac
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 10 12
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.4 0.97
Goals Conceded 1 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Srpska Liga - West
Zeleznicar Lajkovac vs FK Sumadija 1903 Kragujevac
4:3
Oct 5, 2025 Srpska Liga - West
FK Sumadija 1903 Kragujevac vs Zeleznicar Lajkovac
2:1
May 19, 2018 Srpska Liga - West
FK Sumadija 1903 Kragujevac vs Zeleznicar Lajkovac
1:2
Oct 22, 2017 Srpska Liga - West
Zeleznicar Lajkovac vs FK Sumadija 1903 Kragujevac
1:1
Apr 2, 2017 Srpska Liga - West
Zeleznicar Lajkovac vs FK Sumadija 1903 Kragujevac
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zeleznicar Lajkovac 36 / 100
FK Sumadija 1903 Kragujevac 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zeleznicar Lajkovac FK Sumadija 1903 Kragujevac

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Zeleznicar Lajkovac or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +28.5%
3.57
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.1%
2.70
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Zeleznicar Lajkovac attacking → ← attacking FK Sumadija 1903 Kragujevac

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zeleznicar Lajkovac scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

FK Sumadija 1903 Kragujevac let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Zeleznicar Lajkovac went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

FK Sumadija 1903 Kragujevac lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 39
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Metalac30208252:1768
2Real Podunavci301310737:2949
3Radnicki Valjevo301351243:3844
4Zeleznicar Lajkovac301110942:3043
5Omladinac Zablace301012836:3042
6FK Zlatibor Cajetina301181129:3341
7Sloboda30914733:2441
8Buducnost Krusik3010101034:3340
9Jedinstvo Putevi301161335:3939
10FK Sumadija 1903 Kragujevac30912929:2839
11OFK Napredak30814836:3338
12Takovo309101123:2937
13Sloga Pozega30991229:3336
14Mladi Radnik Radinac30971431:5234
15Josanica306101430:4528
16Polimlje30591624:5024