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Zeljeznicar vs FK Sloga Meridian

Bosnia and Herzegovina Bosnia and Herzegovina

Bosnia and Herzegovina Cup Stadion Grbavica
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zeljeznicar play FK Sloga Meridian in the Bosnia and Herzegovina Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, Zeljeznicar averaged 1 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. FK Sloga Meridian averaged 0.69 goals scored and 1.59 conceded. In past meetings, Zeljeznicar won 2, FK Sloga Meridian won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 10, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Zeljeznicar and 0.50 for FK Sloga Meridian. This points to a Zeljeznicar double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Zeljeznicar
33%
Draws
29%
FK Sloga Meridian
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Zeljeznicar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Zeljeznicar picked up more points recently compared to FK Sloga Meridian.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 0.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27%
Zeljeznicar Clean Sheet 31%
FK Sloga Meridian Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 53%
Second Half Goal 56%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zeljeznicar FK Sloga Meridian
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 6
Draws 9 8
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1 0.69
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 WWIN Liga BiH
Zeljeznicar vs FK Sloga Meridian
3:0
Mar 10, 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina Cup
FK Sloga Meridian vs Zeljeznicar
1:1
Mar 7, 2026 WWIN Liga BiH
FK Sloga Meridian vs Zeljeznicar
0:3
Feb 25, 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina Cup
Zeljeznicar vs FK Sloga Meridian
0:1
Dec 17, 2025 WWIN Liga BiH
Zeljeznicar vs FK Sloga Meridian
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zeljeznicar Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

FK Sloga Meridian Compare

Top Goalscorer Jovic T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zeljeznicar 40 / 100
FK Sloga Meridian 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zeljeznicar FK Sloga Meridian

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Zeljeznicar or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.1%
2.70
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Zeljeznicar attacking → ← attacking FK Sloga Meridian

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zeljeznicar scored in 52% of their last 29 games.

FK Sloga Meridian let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Zeljeznicar went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

FK Sloga Meridian lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 26
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.38