Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zelzate vs Merelbeke

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
De Coninck J.
55' Event
Binst N.
77' Event
Shala V.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Zelzate in this National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zelzate.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Zelzate
15%
Draws
85%
Merelbeke
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Merelbeke

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Merelbeke have won more games recently than Zelzate.
  • 85% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Merelbeke have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Zelzate Clean Sheet 10%
Merelbeke Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zelzate Merelbeke
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 9 2
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 1.77 1.4
Goals Conceded 2.06 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2026 National Division 1 - VV
Zelzate vs Merelbeke
2:1
Dec 7, 2025 National Division 1 - VV
Merelbeke vs Zelzate
2:0
Mar 3, 2024 Second Amateur Division Group VFV A
Zelzate vs Merelbeke
1:2
Dec 3, 2023 Second Amateur Division Group VFV A
Merelbeke vs Zelzate
3:0
Jan 22, 2023 Second Amateur Division Group VFV A
Merelbeke vs Zelzate
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zelzate Compare

Top Goalscorer De Coninck J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Merelbeke Compare

Top Goalscorer Binst N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zelzate 34 / 100
Merelbeke 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zelzate Merelbeke

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Merelbeke's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

Zelzate scored in 77% of their last 35 games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Away concern: Merelbeke has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Zelzate VS Merelbeke
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
2.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Zelzate

(Home)
08 Aug
Zelzate
1 : 2
Genk U23
17 Jul
Zelzate
0 : 2
Sporting Lokeren
04 Jul
Zelzate
1 : 2
Waregem
26 Apr
Zelzate
2 : 3
Knokke
19 Apr
Belisia Bilzen
5 : 0
Zelzate
Page 1 of 7

Merelbeke

(Away)
08 Aug
Merelbeke
0 : 2
Lierse SK
27 Jun
Merelbeke
1 : 6
Gent
26 Apr
Ninove
3 : 1
Merelbeke
19 Apr
Merelbeke
1 : 3
SK Roeselare
11 Apr
Merelbeke
2 : 1
Houtvenne
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hasselt 30 19 5 6 76:28 62
2 Knokke 30 19 4 7 56:44 61
3 SK Roeselare 30 15 9 6 52:33 54
4 Belisia Bilzen 30 15 7 8 62:43 52
5 Hoogstraten 30 14 9 7 54:42 51
6 Thes Sport 30 14 8 8 44:34 50
7 K. Lyra-Lierse 30 12 7 11 45:44 43
8 Dessel 30 11 6 13 61:65 39
9 Tienen 30 11 5 14 38:46 38
10 Cercle Brugge 2 30 10 8 12 41:53 38
11 Merelbeke 30 11 3 16 42:49 36
12 Zelzate 30 10 6 14 52:61 36
13 Leuven B 30 10 3 17 56:64 33
14 Houtvenne 30 8 7 15 40:53 31
15 Diegem 30 7 7 16 52:69 28
16 Ninove 30 5 4 21 40:83 19
Promotion - Challenger Pro League (Main)