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Zelzate vs UR La Louviere Centre

Belgium Belgium

Belgian Cup 2024/2025
Sun, Aug 18, 2024
1 - 2
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zelzate play UR La Louviere Centre in the Belgian Cup 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Zelzate averaged 1.72 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. UR La Louviere Centre averaged 1.1 goals scored and 2.1 conceded. In past meetings, Zelzate won 0, UR La Louviere Centre won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 18, 2024 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.54 for Zelzate and 1.56 for UR La Louviere Centre. This points to a Zelzate double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Zelzate
18%
Draws
36%
UR La Louviere Centre
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Zelzate

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Zelzate picked up more points recently compared to UR La Louviere Centre.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.54 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64%
Zelzate Clean Sheet 15%
UR La Louviere Centre Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zelzate UR La Louviere Centre
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 5
Draws 6 5
Losses 14 20
Goals Scored 1.72 1.1
Goals Conceded 2.07 2.1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 18, 2024 Belgian Cup
Zelzate vs UR La Louviere Centre
1:2
Aug 11, 2019 Belgian Cup
Zelzate vs UR La Louviere Centre
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zelzate 44 / 100
UR La Louviere Centre 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zelzate UR La Louviere Centre

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Zelzate or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21%
2.63
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.64
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Zelzate attacking → ← attacking UR La Louviere Centre

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zelzate scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

UR La Louviere Centre let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Zelzate went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

UR La Louviere Centre lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Cup knockout game. Winning is all that matters, which can lead to wild tactics or extra time.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 20
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00