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Zemun vs Mornar Bar

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Yao Y.
29' Event
Tabakovic D.
79' Event
Denkovic S.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Mornar Bar in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mornar Bar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Zemun
20%
Draws
70%
Mornar Bar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mornar Bar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mornar Bar lately — more wins on the board than Zemun.
  • Win probability leans Mornar Bar's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Zemun Clean Sheet 15%
Mornar Bar Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zemun Mornar Bar
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 18
Draws 7 7
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 1.14 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.55
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Zemun vs Mornar Bar
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zemun Compare

Top Goalscorer Tabakovic D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Mornar Bar Compare

Top Goalscorer Yao Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zemun 23 / 100
Mornar Bar 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zemun Mornar Bar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mornar Bar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Zemun scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Mornar Bar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 45% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Zemun stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zemun VS Mornar Bar
0.38 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Zemun

(Home)
14 Sept
Zemun
1 : 1
Radnik Surdulica
06 Sept
Vojvodina
2 : 1
Zemun
30 Aug
Zemun
0 : 2
Crvena zvezda
22 Aug
OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet
1 : 0
Zemun
16 Aug
Zemun
0 : 1
Mladost Lucani
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Mornar Bar

(Away)
14 Sept
Mornar Bar
0 : 1
Otrant
08 Sept
Sutjeska
1 : 0
Mornar Bar
03 Sept
Mornar Bar
2 : 0
Bokelj
29 Aug
Petrovac
1 : 1
Mornar Bar
21 Aug
Mornar Bar
2 : 1
Buducnost
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