Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zenit Tallinn vs JK Poseidon

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zenit Tallinn in this Estonian Cup 2022/2023 tie, finishing 5-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Zenit Tallinn
15%
Draws
42%
JK Poseidon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zenit Tallinn

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to JK Poseidon lately — more wins on the board than Zenit Tallinn.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Zenit Tallinn taking it.
  • JK Poseidon arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Zenit Tallinn, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 93%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 93%
Over 3.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 39%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Zenit Tallinn Clean Sheet 10%
JK Poseidon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zenit Tallinn JK Poseidon
Matches Played 16 26
Wins 8 12
Draws 0 0
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 2.75 2.08
Goals Conceded 4.25 4.15
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 3.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 29, 2022 Estonian Cup
Zenit Tallinn vs JK Poseidon
5:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zenit Tallinn 83 / 100
JK Poseidon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zenit Tallinn JK Poseidon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zenit Tallinn Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zenit Tallinn scored in 81% of their last 16 games.

JK Poseidon let in goals in 81% of their last 26 matches.

H2H data points to 8.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Zenit Tallinn remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Zenit Tallinn VS JK Poseidon
2.75 Goals Scored 2.25
4.88 Goals Conceded 3.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
100% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Zenit Tallinn

(Home)
23 Aug
Narva
5 : 0
Zenit Tallinn
30 Jul
Rumori Calcio
3 : 8
Zenit Tallinn
21 Jun
Zenit Tallinn
3 : 1
Hiiumaa
24 Aug
Zenit Tallinn
1 : 6
Tulevik
29 Jun
Zenit Tallinn
5 : 3
JK Poseidon
Page 1 of 4

JK Poseidon

(Away)
11 Aug
JK Poseidon
0 : 12
Kalju
23 Jul
JK Poseidon
3 : 2
Helm
15 Oct
JK Poseidon
0 : 6
Tartu JK Welco
27 Aug
JK Poseidon
1 : 0
Tallinna Kalev U21
26 Jul
Maardu Aliens
1 : 4
JK Poseidon
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Kuressaare 1
Viimsi JK 0
TBD -
Parnu JK Vaprus -
Kristiine -
TBD -
TBD -
Laaneranna -
Tartu Kalev -
Puhkus Mehhikos -
TBD -
Jager -
Tallinn Piraaja -
TBD -
Tallinna Wolves II 0
Flora U19 12
Flora -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vastseliina Tannem 0
Legion 14
TBD -
Kadakas -
Valga Warrior -
TBD -
TBD -
Elva -
Kalju U21 -
TBD -
TBD -
Teleios -
Kohvile 0
Paide Linnameeskond III 5
TBD -
Johvi Phoenix -
Legion U21 10
Vana Hea Puur 1
ReUnited 3
Loo JK 1
Marjamaa Kompanii -
TBD -
TBD -
Helm -
Saku Sporting -
TBD -
TBD -
Rakvere -
TransferWise -
TBD -
Tammeka Tartu 8
Kose 0
Parnu -
TBD -
TBD -
Arukula Vigri -
Harju JK Laagri -
TBD -
TBD -
EstHam United -
Tallinna FC Zapoos -
TBD -
TBD -
Raplamaa -
Olympic Tallinn 5
Maardu Aliens 4
TBD -
Saae Latte -
Tabasalu 26
JK Poseidon II 0
TBD -
Tartu JK Welco -
JK Jalgpallihaigla -
TBD -
TBD -
Kalju -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Levadia -
Zenit Tallinn -
TBD -
TBD -
JK Poseidon -
Tulevik -
TBD -
TBD -
Vandra Vaprus -
Mulgi -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Tallinn -
Flora Tallinn U21 -
TBD -
TBD -
Jarva-Jaani -
Helios -
JK 32. keskkool -
Narva -
Tabasalu Ulasabat -
Aksi Wolves -
TBD -
FCI Tallinn 3
Eston Villa 1
Rumori Calcio -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev -
Soccernet -
TBD -
TBD -
Jogeva Wolves -
Nomme Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
Laanemaa Haapsalu -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
FC Alliance -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev U21 -
Tallinna Wolves -
TBD -
FCP Parnu 0
Maksatransport 3
1/32-finals
Kuressaare 2
Parnu JK Vaprus 1
Kristiine 2
Laaneranna 3
Tartu Kalev 11
Jager 0
Tallinn Piraaja -
Flora U19 -
Flora -
TBD -
Legion 13
Kadakas 0
Valga Warrior 0
Elva 6
Kalju U21 9
Teleios 0
Paide Linnameeskond III 4
Johvi Phoenix 5
Legion U21 2
ReUnited 4
Marjamaa Kompanii 0
Helm 7
Saku Sporting 0
Rakvere 2
TransferWise 0
Tammeka Tartu 18
Parnu 9
Arukula Vigri 0
Harju JK Laagri 29
EstHam United 0
Tallinna FC Zapoos 2
Raplamaa 1
Olympic Tallinn 3
Saae Latte 0
Tabasalu 3
Tartu JK Welco 1
JK Jalgpallihaigla 0
Kalju 23
TBD -
Levadia -
Zenit Tallinn 5
JK Poseidon 3
Tulevik 4
Vandra Vaprus 1
Mulgi -
FC Tallinn -
Flora Tallinn U21 13
Jarva-Jaani 0
Helios 0
Narva 9
Aksi Wolves 2
FCI Tallinn 3
Rumori Calcio 0
Tallinna Kalev 8
Soccernet -
Jogeva Wolves -
Nomme Utd 3
Laanemaa Haapsalu 0
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
FC Alliance 1
Tallinna Kalev U21 6
Tallinna Wolves 0
Maksatransport 10
1/16-finals
Kuressaare -
Laaneranna -
Tartu Kalev 2
Flora U19 0
Flora 6
Legion 0
Elva -
Kalju U21 -
Johvi Phoenix -
ReUnited -
Helm 1
Rakvere 4
Tammeka Tartu 8
Parnu 0
Harju JK Laagri 13
Tallinna FC Zapoos 1
Olympic Tallinn 0
Tabasalu 5
Kalju 2
Levadia 0
Zenit Tallinn 1
Tulevik 6
FC Tallinn 4
Flora Tallinn U21 1
Narva 5
FCI Tallinn 0
Tallinna Kalev 15
Soccernet 0
Nomme Utd 0
Paide Linnameeskond 4
Tallinna Kalev U21 6
Maksatransport 2
1/8-finals
Kuressaare 5
Tartu Kalev 2
Flora 6
Elva 0
Johvi Phoenix 1
Rakvere 0
Tammeka Tartu 5
Harju JK Laagri 2
Tabasalu 1
Kalju 0
Tulevik 0
FC Tallinn 2
Narva 2
Tallinna Kalev 1
Paide Linnameeskond 11
Tallinna Kalev U21 1
Quarter-finals
Kuressaare 1
Flora 2
Johvi Phoenix 1
Tammeka Tartu 6
Tabasalu 2
FC Tallinn 1
Narva 1
Paide Linnameeskond 0
Semi-finals
Flora 1
Tammeka Tartu 0
Tabasalu 0
Narva 1
Final
Flora 1
Narva 2