Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zenith Prato vs Lentigione

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Nanni L.
15' Event
Pupeschi N.
75' Event
Lombardi L.

AI Match Summary

Lentigione in this Serie D - Group D 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lentigione.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Zenith Prato
35%
Draws
41%
Lentigione
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lentigione

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lentigione lately — more wins on the board than Zenith Prato.
  • 41% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Zenith Prato Clean Sheet 16%
Lentigione Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zenith Prato Lentigione
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 10 22
Draws 7 6
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 1.13 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.47 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Zenith Prato vs Lentigione
1:2
Nov 10, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Lentigione vs Zenith Prato
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zenith Prato Compare

Top Goalscorer Pupeschi N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Lentigione Compare

Top Goalscorer Nanni L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lombardi L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zenith Prato 36 / 100
Lentigione 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zenith Prato Lentigione

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lentigione Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zenith Prato scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Lentigione's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Zenith Prato went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Lentigione
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Zenith Prato

(Home)
11 May
Zenith Prato
2 : 2
Piacenza
27 Apr
Imolese
5 : 1
Zenith Prato
17 Apr
Zenith Prato
1 : 1
Sasso Marconi
12 Apr
Pistoiese
0 : 1
Zenith Prato
06 Apr
Zenith Prato
0 : 0
Prato
Page 1 of 6

Lentigione

(Away)
04 Oct
Oltrepo
1 : 2
Lentigione
27 Sept
Varese FC
1 : 1
Lentigione
20 Sept
Lentigione
0 : 1
Cittadella Vis Modena
16 Sept
Tropical Coriano
1 : 2
Lentigione
12 Sept
Lentigione
1 : 0
Castellanzese
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Forli FC 34 27 3 4 75:24 84
2 Ravenna 34 23 5 6 65:27 74
3 Lentigione 34 18 11 5 48:27 65
4 Tau 34 18 9 7 54:27 63
5 Pistoiese 34 18 7 9 45:23 61
6 Imolese 34 14 11 9 52:44 53
7 Cittadella Vis Modena 34 13 8 13 48:40 47
8 Piacenza 34 10 12 12 38:40 42
9 Prato 34 11 9 14 34:38 42
10 Tuttocuoio 34 10 12 12 32:43 42
11 SCD Progresso 34 10 11 13 24:32 41
12 San Marino Calcio 34 10 8 16 38:51 38
13 Sasso Marconi 34 9 10 15 39:51 37
14 Corticella 34 10 6 18 37:65 36
15 Sammaurese 34 7 10 17 27:37 31
16 Fiorenzuola 34 7 5 22 21:46 26
17 Zenith Prato 34 10 8 16 36:51 23
18 United Riccione 34 5 7 22 22:69 22
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2024/2025 (Play Out)