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Zesco vs Mutondo Stars - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Zambia Zambia

Super League
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zesco host Mutondo Stars in the Super League. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Zesco at 1.08 goals for, 0.86 against; Mutondo Stars at 0.76 for, 1.14 against. Head-to-head, Zesco have won 2 to Mutondo Stars's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 5, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.50 - 0.75) back Zesco to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Zesco
30%
Draws
23%
Mutondo Stars
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Zesco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Zesco have won more games recently than Mutondo Stars.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Zesco taking it.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Zesco Clean Sheet 20%
Mutondo Stars Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zesco Mutondo Stars
Matches Played 37 29
Wins 15 5
Draws 8 12
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.08 0.76
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2026 Super League
Mutondo Stars vs Zesco
1:0
Aug 23, 2025 Super League
Zesco vs Mutondo Stars
3:0
May 4, 2025 Super League
Mutondo Stars vs Zesco
1:0
Dec 14, 2024 Super League
Zesco vs Mutondo Stars
2:0
Apr 21, 2024 Super League
Zesco vs Mutondo Stars
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zesco 76 / 100
Mutondo Stars 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zesco Mutondo Stars

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zesco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zesco found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (37 games).

Mutondo Stars has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Zesco has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Mutondo Stars lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zesco VS Mutondo Stars
1.38 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
25% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Zesco

(Home)
18 Oct
Zesco
0 : 0
Mufulira Wanderers
10 Oct
Zesco
0 : 1
Green Eagles
03 Oct
Kabwe
1 : 1
Zesco
22 Aug
Zesco
0 : 0
Red Arrows
21 Aug
Power Dynamos
0 : 1
Zesco
Page 1 of 8

Mutondo Stars

(Away)
18 Oct
Chirundu United
3 : 0
Mutondo Stars
10 Oct
Kabwe
3 : 2
Mutondo Stars
04 Oct
Mutondo Stars
1 : 3
Red Arrows
24 May
NAPSA Stars
1 : 0
Mutondo Stars
17 May
Mutondo Stars
3 : 1
Mines
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nkana 3 3 0 0 7:1 9
2 Muza Fc 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
3 Konkola Blades 3 2 0 1 6:5 6
4 Power Dynamos 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
5 Zanaco 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
6 Kansanshi 3 1 1 1 3:5 4
7 NAPSA Stars 3 0 3 0 2:2 3
8 Trident 3 0 1 2 1:3 1
9 Makeni All Stars 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
10 Nchanga Rangers 3 0 0 3 0:4 0
Promotion - Super League (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Green Eagles 3 3 0 0 6:1 9
2 Green Buffaloes FC 3 1 2 0 2:0 5
3 Red Arrows 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
4 Kabwe 2 1 1 0 4:3 4
5 Chirundu United 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
6 Roan United 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
7 Zesco 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
8 Nkwazi 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
9 Mufulira Wanderers 3 0 2 1 1:4 2
10 Mutondo Stars 3 0 0 3 3:9 0
Promotion - Super League (Play Offs)