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Zesco vs Trident - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Zambia Zambia

Super League 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Sakala E.
13' Event
Sakala E.
35' Event
Simukonda D.

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2023/2024 game between Zesco and Trident finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zesco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Zesco
35%
Draws
20%
Trident
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Zesco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Zesco come out ahead of Trident on wins alone.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Zesco taking it.
  • Regular Super League 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Zesco Clean Sheet 20%
Trident Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zesco Trident
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 13 4
Draws 6 11
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.17 0.86
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 0.48 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2024 Super League
Zesco vs Trident
5:1
Dec 16, 2023 Super League
Trident vs Zesco
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zesco Compare

Top Goalscorer Sakala E.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Simukonda D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.37
Avg xA / game 0.24

Trident Compare

Top Goalscorer Mtonga R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zesco 85 / 100
Trident 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zesco Trident

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zesco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Zesco stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Zesco scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Trident has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Zesco VS Trident
0.63 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.33
38% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Zesco

(Home)
03 Oct
Kabwe
1 : 1
Zesco
22 Aug
Zesco
0 : 0
Red Arrows
21 Aug
Power Dynamos
0 : 1
Zesco
20 Aug
Simba
0 : 1
Zesco
24 May
Zesco
6 : 1
Zanaco
Page 1 of 6

Trident

(Away)
03 Oct
Trident
0 : 1
Nkana
01 Jun
Trident
1 : 1
Green Buffaloes FC
25 May
Zesco
5 : 1
Trident
18 May
Trident
0 : 0
Power Dynamos
15 May
Konkola Blades
0 : 1
Trident
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Red Arrows 34 21 8 5 45:16 71
2 Zesco 34 15 14 5 46:30 59
3 Power Dynamos 34 14 14 6 43:24 56
4 Muza Fc 34 14 11 9 38:30 53
5 Kabwe 34 14 10 10 33:26 52
6 Nkwazi 34 14 10 10 33:35 52
7 Mufulira Wanderers 34 11 10 13 32:32 43
8 Zanaco 34 9 16 9 27:30 43
9 Nkana 34 11 10 13 24:30 43
10 Forest Rangers 34 9 15 10 33:34 42
11 Green Buffaloes FC 34 10 12 12 31:35 42
12 Green Eagles 34 11 9 14 35:41 42
13 Mutondo Stars 34 11 7 16 30:33 40
14 NAPSA Stars 34 9 13 12 26:30 40
15 Konkola Blades 34 8 15 11 23:31 39
16 Prison Leopards 34 8 11 15 26:37 35
17 Kansanshi 34 8 11 15 23:36 35
18 Trident 34 4 14 16 26:44 26
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2024/2025 (Main)
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