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Zesco vs Zanaco

Zambia Zambia

Super League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zesco play Zanaco in the Super League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Zesco averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. Zanaco averaged 0.83 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. In past meetings, Zesco won 2, Zanaco won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 24, 2026 ended 6:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Zesco and 0.63 for Zanaco. This points to a Zesco double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Zesco
27%
Draws
35%
Zanaco
Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Zesco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Zesco picked up more points recently compared to Zanaco.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 0.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 56%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Zesco Clean Sheet 29%
Zanaco Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 50%
Second Half Goal 53%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zesco Zanaco
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 13 11
Draws 8 6
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.17 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Super League
Zesco vs Zanaco
6:1
Feb 19, 2026 Super League
Zanaco vs Zesco
1:2
Mar 8, 2025 Super League
Zanaco vs Zesco
2:1
Nov 3, 2024 Super League
Zesco vs Zanaco
0:0
Apr 7, 2024 Super League
Zesco vs Zanaco
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zesco 40 / 100
Zanaco 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zesco Zanaco

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Zesco or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +24%
4.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Zesco attacking → ← attacking Zanaco

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zesco scored in 64% of their last 36 games.

Zanaco let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Zesco went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Zanaco lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 39
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25