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Zestafoni vs Guria

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2023
Zestafoni Logo

Zestafoni

2 - 0
FT
Guria Logo

Guria

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 2023 game between Zestafoni and Guria finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zestafoni.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Zestafoni
30%
Draws
50%
Guria
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Guria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Guria come out ahead of Zestafoni on wins alone.
  • Guria are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga 3 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Zestafoni Clean Sheet 10%
Guria Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zestafoni Guria
Matches Played 34 37
Wins 9 23
Draws 12 4
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.32 2.59
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2024 Liga 3
Guria vs Zestafoni
4:1
Mar 28, 2024 Liga 3
Zestafoni vs Guria
2:0
Oct 24, 2023 Liga 3
Zestafoni vs Guria
2:0
May 31, 2023 Liga 3
Guria vs Zestafoni
4:1
Oct 21, 2022 Liga 3
Zestafoni vs Guria
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zestafoni 10 / 100
Guria 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zestafoni Guria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Zestafoni's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Guria let in goals in 62% of their last 37 matches.

Solid form: Zestafoni remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Guria
0 Goals Scored 2.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Zestafoni

(Home)
07 Dec
Meshakhte Tkibuli
3 : 0
Zestafoni
29 Nov
Zestafoni
2 : 1
FC Tbilisi 2025
21 Nov
Merani Tbilisi
2 : 2
Zestafoni
14 Nov
Zestafoni
0 : 0
Merani Martvili
07 Nov
FC Gardabani
2 : 2
Zestafoni
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Guria

(Away)
17 Sept
Guria
2 : 0
Dinamo Tbilisi 2
10 Sept
FC Gardabani
0 : 5
Guria
03 Sept
Guria
2 : 0
Gonio
27 Aug
Betlemi Keda
0 : 5
Guria
21 Aug
Guria
2 : 0
Iberia 1999 2
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dusheti 30 21 5 4 66:21 68
2 Shturmi 30 21 5 4 67:27 68
3 FC Rustavi 30 19 4 7 63:31 61
4 FC Tbilisi 2025 30 19 3 8 54:35 60
5 Meshakhte Tkibuli 30 15 10 5 49:24 55
6 Orbi 30 15 5 10 56:41 50
7 Iberia 1999 2 30 12 9 9 45:26 45
8 Gori 30 13 4 13 46:48 43
9 Guria 30 11 6 13 44:55 39
10 Locomotive Tbilisi 2 30 10 5 15 50:42 35
11 Borjomi 30 11 2 17 50:78 35
12 Bakhmaro Chokhatauri 30 9 6 15 47:47 33
13 Zestafoni 30 6 11 13 33:46 29
14 Matchakhela 30 8 2 20 38:81 26
15 FC Merani-91 Tbilisi II 30 4 10 16 30:58 22
16 Chikhura Sachkhere 30 2 1 27 23:101 7
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2024 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2023 (Relegation)