Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zhejiang Professional vs Liaoning Tieren

China China

Super League Huizhou Olympic Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This Super League encounter between Zhejiang Professional and Liaoning Tieren promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Zhejiang Professional averages 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded in recent matches. Liaoning Tieren shows a form average of 1.5 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 3 wins for Zhejiang Professional, 1 wins for Liaoning Tieren, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 24.05.26 ended in a 0:5 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.69 for Zhejiang Professional and 1.63 for Liaoning Tieren, suggesting the primary value lies in the Liaoning Tieren double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Zhejiang Professional
26%
Draws
37%
Liaoning Tieren
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Liaoning Tieren

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence
  • Zhejiang Professional picked up more points recently compared to Liaoning Tieren.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 1.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Zhejiang Professional Clean Sheet 14%
Liaoning Tieren Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zhejiang Professional Liaoning Tieren
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 12
Draws 11 6
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.62 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

24.05.26 Super League
Zhejiang Professional vs Liaoning Tieren
0:5
20.09.21 League One
Zhejiang Professional vs Liaoning Tieren
1:0
03.09.21 League One
Liaoning Tieren vs Zhejiang Professional
2:2
15.10.20 League One
Liaoning Tieren vs Zhejiang Professional
1:5
27.09.20 League One
Zhejiang Professional vs Liaoning Tieren
1:0

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Zhejiang Professional

Pressing Intensity Aggressive press (PPDA < 9.5)
Attacking Style Keep the ball
Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses
Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Liaoning Tieren

Pressing Intensity Aggressive press (PPDA < 9.5)
Attacking Style Keep the ball
Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses
Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zhejiang Professional Compare

Top Goalscorer N/A
0 Goals
Assists Leader N/A
0 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Liaoning Tieren Compare

Top Goalscorer Mbenza G.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Jeffinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Availability Alerts

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zhejiang Professional 36 / 100
Liaoning Tieren 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zhejiang Professional Liaoning Tieren

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Liaoning Tieren or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.69
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Zhejiang Professional 41%
Liaoning Tieren 30%
15' - 30' Dominance Index

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Zhejiang Professional 35%
Liaoning Tieren 39%
30' - 45' Dominance Index

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Zhejiang Professional 37%
Liaoning Tieren 37%
45' - 60' Dominance Index

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Zhejiang Professional 39%
Liaoning Tieren 35%
60' - 75' Dominance Index

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Zhejiang Professional 33%
Liaoning Tieren 41%
75' - 90' Dominance Index

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Zhejiang Professional 43%
Liaoning Tieren 43%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Zhejiang Professional attacking → ← attacking Liaoning Tieren

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zhejiang Professional have found the net in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Liaoning Tieren have conceded at least one goal in 76% of their last 29 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 3.40 goals per match.

Zhejiang Professional remained undefeated in 2 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Liaoning Tieren suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risk Factor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risk Factor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 42
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Chengdu Rongcheng16131236:1540
2Chongqing Tonglianglong1676320:1627
3Dalian Yingbo1671822:2922
4Shandong Taishan1683530:2621
5Yunnan Yukun1663729:2821
6Qingdao West Coast1649320:2421
7Beijing Guoan1665527:2318
8Zhejiang Professional1664621:2617
9Shenzhen Xinpengcheng1652922:2817
10Liaoning Tieren1652921:2817
11Shanghai Shenhua1675433:2516
12Shanghai Port1655625:2215
13Henan Songshan Longmen1663717:2015
14Qingdao Hainiu1662826:2713
15Wuhan Three Towns1627722:318
16Tianjin Jinmen Tiger1636719:225