Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Zhenis in this First Division 2013 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zhenis.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zhenis
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Zhenis have won more games recently than Gefest Karagandy.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on Zhenis taking it.
- Regular First Division 2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Zhenis have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Zhenis Clean Sheet 20%
Gefest Karagandy Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Zhenis | Gefest Karagandy |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 7 |
| Draws | 7 | 3 |
| Losses | 11 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 0.73 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.22 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 14, 2014 First League
Gefest Karagandy vs Zhenis
0:3
May 31, 2014 First League
Zhenis vs Gefest Karagandy
1:0
Jul 30, 2013 First League
Zhenis vs Gefest Karagandy
1:0
Jul 13, 2013 First League
Gefest Karagandy vs Zhenis
3:1
Oct 10, 2011 First League
Gefest Karagandy vs Zhenis
0:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Zhenis 85 / 100
Gefest Karagandy 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Zhenis Gefest Karagandy
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Zhenis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Gefest Karagandy let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.
Away concern: Gefest Karagandy has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.
Zhenis scored in 72% of their last 32 games.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Zhenis VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Zhenis
(Home) 18 Sept
Okzhetpes
3 : 1 Zhenis
12 Sept
Zhenis
3 : 1 Kyzylzhar
09 Sept
Kairat Almaty
3 : 0 Zhenis
05 Sept
Aktobe
1 : 0 Zhenis
29 Aug
Zhenis
1 : 0 Altai
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Zhenis
3 : 1 Kyzylzhar
29 Aug
Zhenis
1 : 0 Altai
19 Aug
Zhenis
3 : 2 Kaisar Kyzylorda
15 Aug
Zhenis
4 : 1 Zhetysu Taldykorgan
02 Aug
Zhenis
0 : 0 Yelimay Semey
Page 1 of 4
Gefest Karagandy
(Away) 08 Nov
Gefest Karagandy
0 : 3 Bayterek Astana
02 Nov
Kaspij Aktau
3 : 0 Gefest Karagandy
25 Oct
Gefest Karagandy
0 : 3 Maqtaaral
19 Oct
FK Kyran
3 : 0 Gefest Karagandy
11 Oct
Gefest Karagandy
0 : 3 Akzhayik Uralsk
Page 1 of 6
02 Nov
Kaspij Aktau
3 : 0 Gefest Karagandy
19 Oct
FK Kyran
3 : 0 Gefest Karagandy
04 Oct
CSKA Almaty
3 : 0 Gefest Karagandy
20 Sept
Sunkar
3 : 0 Gefest Karagandy
07 Sept
Vostok Oskemen
3 : 0 Gefest Karagandy
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 77:20 | 74 |
| 2 | Spartak Semey | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 54:24 | 70 |
| 3 | Okzhetpes | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 51:27 | 67 |
| 4 | Kyzylzhar | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 52:35 | 65 |
| 5 | Kaspij Aktau | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 55:31 | 65 |
| 6 | Ile-Saulet | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 66:32 | 65 |
| 7 | Zhenis | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 51:37 | 58 |
| 8 | FK Kyran | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 53:39 | 55 |
| 9 | Sunkar | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 48:33 | 48 |
| 10 | Ak Bulak | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 49:39 | 48 |
| 11 | Gefest Karagandy | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 37:46 | 44 |
| 12 | FC Ekibastuz | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 34:36 | 40 |
| 13 | Shakhtar Bulat | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 28:42 | 30 |
| 14 | Taraz-Karatau 2 | 34 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 28:57 | 24 |
| 15 | Bayterek Astana | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 32:67 | 23 |
| 16 | Maqtaaral | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 29:62 | 22 |
| 17 | CSKA Almaty | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 29:79 | 19 |
| 18 | Shymkent | 34 | 2 | 7 | 25 | 27:94 | 13 |
Promotion - Premier League 2014 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2013 (Relegation)
