Sport Picks
Zhenis vs Kairat Almaty - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Kazakhstan
Premier League Astana Arena, Astana 
Match Events
27'
27'
Khaseyn M.
52'
52'
Jukkola O.
Assist: Jorginho G.
61'
61'
Sub
Khaseyn M. In: Tevzadze Z.
Out: Khaseyn M.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League game between Zhenis and Kairat Almaty finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kairat Almaty.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kairat Almaty
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Kairat Almaty carry the better recent record into this one.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Kairat Almaty taking it.
- Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Kairat Almaty have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Zhenis Clean Sheet 17%
Kairat Almaty Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Zhenis | Kairat Almaty |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 16 |
| Draws | 7 | 3 |
| Losses | 10 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 1.68 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 1.04 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 9, 2026 Premier League
Kairat Almaty vs Zhenis
3:0
May 17, 2026 Premier League
Zhenis vs Kairat Almaty
1:2
Sep 22, 2025 Premier League
Kairat Almaty vs Zhenis
3:1
May 9, 2025 Premier League
Zhenis vs Kairat Almaty
1:2
Sep 25, 2024 League Cup
Kairat Almaty vs Zhenis
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Zhenis Compare
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Kairat Almaty Compare
Top Goalscorer Jukkola O.
1 Goals Assists Leader Jorginho G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Zhenis 28 / 100
Kairat Almaty 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Zhenis Kairat Almaty
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kairat Almaty Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Zhenis scored in 72% of their last 29 games.
Kairat Almaty's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.
Zhenis went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Zhenis VS Kairat Almaty
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Zhenis
(Home) 18 Sept
Okzhetpes
3 : 1 Zhenis
12 Sept
Zhenis
3 : 1 Kyzylzhar
09 Sept
Kairat Almaty
3 : 0 Zhenis
05 Sept
Aktobe
1 : 0 Zhenis
29 Aug
Zhenis
1 : 0 Altai
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Zhenis
3 : 1 Kyzylzhar
29 Aug
Zhenis
1 : 0 Altai
19 Aug
Zhenis
3 : 2 Kaisar Kyzylorda
15 Aug
Zhenis
4 : 1 Zhetysu Taldykorgan
02 Aug
Zhenis
0 : 0 Yelimay Semey
Page 1 of 3
Kairat Almaty
(Away) 17 Sept
FC Astana
1 : 0 Kairat Almaty
13 Sept
Kairat Almaty
1 : 4 Tobol
09 Sept
Kairat Almaty
3 : 0 Zhenis
05 Sept
Kaspij Aktau
0 : 3 Kairat Almaty
31 Aug
Yelimay Semey
0 : 2 Kairat Almaty
Page 1 of 6
17 Sept
FC Astana
1 : 0 Kairat Almaty
05 Sept
Kaspij Aktau
0 : 3 Kairat Almaty
31 Aug
Yelimay Semey
0 : 2 Kairat Almaty
27 Aug
Anderlecht
3 : 0 Kairat Almaty
04 Aug
Levski Sofia
1 : 0 Kairat Almaty
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ordabasy | 26 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 51:18 | 61 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 51:20 | 57 |
| 3 | FC Astana | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 42:25 | 48 |
| 4 | Okzhetpes | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 41:35 | 45 |
| 5 | Aktobe | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 38:31 | 42 |
| 6 | Yelimay Semey | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 35:33 | 38 |
| 7 | Tobol | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 33:35 | 34 |
| 8 | Zhenis | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 26:32 | 32 |
| 9 | Ulytau | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 24:32 | 32 |
| 10 | Kaspij Aktau | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 27:36 | 29 |
| 11 | Ertis Pavlodar | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 26:34 | 26 |
| 12 | Altai | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 26:36 | 25 |
| 13 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 22:33 | 24 |
| 14 | Kyzylzhar | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 26:40 | 24 |
| 15 | Atyrau | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 18:28 | 23 |
| 16 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 26:44 | 22 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027 (Main)
