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Zhenis vs Kyzylzhar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Kazakhstan Cup Astana Arena, Astana
Zhenis Logo

Zhenis

2 - 0
FT
Kyzylzhar Logo

Kyzylzhar

Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Elder Santana
Assist: Adilio
22' Event
Adilio
32'
Askarov M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Zhenis
20%
Draws
20%
Kyzylzhar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Zhenis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Zhenis come out ahead of Kyzylzhar on wins alone.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Zhenis taking it.
  • Zhenis have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Zhenis, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Zhenis Clean Sheet 68%
Kyzylzhar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zhenis Kyzylzhar
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 8
Draws 7 6
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.31 1
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Premier League
Zhenis vs Kyzylzhar
3:1
May 13, 2026 Kazakhstan Cup
Zhenis vs Kyzylzhar
2:0
Apr 12, 2026 Premier League
Kyzylzhar vs Zhenis
4:0
Aug 16, 2025 Premier League
Kyzylzhar vs Zhenis
1:1
May 18, 2025 Premier League
Zhenis vs Kyzylzhar
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zhenis Compare

Top Goalscorer Elder Santana
1 Goals
Assists Leader Adilio
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Kyzylzhar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zhenis 59 / 100
Kyzylzhar 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zhenis Kyzylzhar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zhenis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kyzylzhar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Zhenis's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Difficult form: Kyzylzhar registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zhenis VS Kyzylzhar
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Zhenis

(Home)
18 Sept
Okzhetpes
3 : 1
Zhenis
12 Sept
Zhenis
3 : 1
Kyzylzhar
09 Sept
Kairat Almaty
3 : 0
Zhenis
05 Sept
Aktobe
1 : 0
Zhenis
29 Aug
Zhenis
1 : 0
Altai
Page 1 of 6

Kyzylzhar

(Away)
18 Sept
Kyzylzhar
1 : 1
Kaisar Kyzylorda
12 Sept
Zhenis
3 : 1
Kyzylzhar
05 Sept
Kyzylzhar
0 : 1
Atyrau
29 Aug
Ordabasy
3 : 0
Kyzylzhar
16 Aug
Kyzylzhar
1 : 1
FC Astana
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Akademiya Ontustik 2
Ordabasy 4
FC Ekibastuz 0
Kaspij Aktau 4
Jas Qyran 0
Atyrau 4
Karshiga Almaty 0
Zhetysu Taldykorgan 1
Arys 0
Aktobe 4
Turan 1
Yelimay Semey 4
Jelaev Nan 0
Altai 2
Taraz 0
Ulytau 1
Talas 0
Kaisar Kyzylorda 2
Jaiyq 1
Kairat Almaty 3
BKS 1
FC Astana 2
Ansat 0
Tobol 8
Shakhter Karagandy 2
Okzhetpes 3
Chromtau 1
Zhenis 4
SD Family -
Ertis Pavlodar -
Khan Tengri 0
Kyzylzhar 1
1/8-finals
Ordabasy 3
Kaspij Aktau 0
Atyrau 0
Zhetysu Taldykorgan 2
Aktobe 2
Yelimay Semey 1
Altai 4
Ulytau 3
Kaisar Kyzylorda 2
Kairat Almaty 1
FC Astana 1
Tobol 2
Okzhetpes 2
Zhenis 3
Ertis Pavlodar 1
Kyzylzhar 2
Quarter-finals
Ordabasy 1
Zhetysu Taldykorgan 0
Aktobe 1
Altai 2
Kaisar Kyzylorda 2
Tobol 1
Zhenis 2
Kyzylzhar 0
Semi-finals
Ordabasy 5
Altai 2
Kaisar Kyzylorda 5
Zhenis 4
Final
Ordabasy -
Kaisar Kyzylorda -