Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zhenis vs Kyzylzhar

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Kazakhstan Cup Astana Arena, Astana
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Elder Santana
Assist: Adilio
22' Event
Adilio
32'
Askarov M.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Zhenis
30%
Draws
37%
Kyzylzhar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kyzylzhar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Zhenis's 1.25 goals per match outpaces what Kyzylzhar have produced (1.03).
  • 33% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Kyzylzhar, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Zhenis Clean Sheet 68%
Kyzylzhar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zhenis Kyzylzhar
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.25 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Kazakhstan Cup
Zhenis vs Kyzylzhar
2:0
Apr 12, 2026 Premier League
Kyzylzhar vs Zhenis
4:0
Aug 16, 2025 Premier League
Kyzylzhar vs Zhenis
1:1
May 18, 2025 Premier League
Zhenis vs Kyzylzhar
0:0
Nov 10, 2024 Premier League
Zhenis vs Kyzylzhar
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zhenis Compare

Top Goalscorer Elder Santana
1 Goals
Assists Leader Adilio
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Kyzylzhar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zhenis 41 / 100
Kyzylzhar 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zhenis Kyzylzhar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zhenis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zhenis's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Kyzylzhar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Zhenis has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Zhenis VS Kyzylzhar
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Zhenis

(Home)
19 Aug
Zhenis
3 : 2
Kaisar Kyzylorda
15 Aug
Zhenis
4 : 1
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
02 Aug
Zhenis
0 : 0
Yelimay Semey
29 Jul
Kaisar Kyzylorda
3 : 1
Zhenis
26 Jul
Kaspij Aktau
3 : 2
Zhenis
Page 1 of 6

Kyzylzhar

(Away)
16 Aug
Kyzylzhar
1 : 1
FC Astana
08 Aug
Altai
3 : 0
Kyzylzhar
01 Aug
Kyzylzhar
3 : 1
Aktobe
25 Jul
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
1 : 2
Kyzylzhar
18 Jul
Kyzylzhar
1 : 1
Tobol
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Akademiya Ontustik 2
Ordabasy 4
FC Ekibastuz 0
Kaspij Aktau 4
Jas Qyran 0
Atyrau 4
Karshiga Almaty 0
Zhetysu Taldykorgan 1
Arys 0
Aktobe 4
Turan 1
Yelimay Semey 4
Jelaev Nan 0
Altai 2
Taraz 0
Ulytau 1
Talas 0
Kaisar Kyzylorda 2
Jaiyq 1
Kairat Almaty 3
BKS 1
FC Astana 2
Ansat 0
Tobol 8
Shakhter Karagandy 2
Okzhetpes 3
Chromtau 1
Zhenis 4
SD Family -
Ertis Pavlodar -
Khan Tengri 0
Kyzylzhar 1
1/8-finals
Ordabasy 3
Kaspij Aktau 0
Atyrau 0
Zhetysu Taldykorgan 2
Aktobe 2
Yelimay Semey 1
Altai 4
Ulytau 3
Kaisar Kyzylorda 2
Kairat Almaty 1
FC Astana 1
Tobol 2
Okzhetpes 2
Zhenis 3
Ertis Pavlodar 1
Kyzylzhar 2
Quarter-finals
Ordabasy 1
Zhetysu Taldykorgan 0
Aktobe 1
Altai 2
Kaisar Kyzylorda 2
Tobol 1
Zhenis 2
Kyzylzhar 0
Semi-finals
Ordabasy 5
Altai 2
Kaisar Kyzylorda 5
Zhenis 4
Final
Ordabasy -
Kaisar Kyzylorda -
Altai -
Zhenis -