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Zhenis vs Ulytau

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Premier League Astana Arena
Our Tip

Match Events

32'
Martins G.
43'
Kishi K.
46'
Sub
Martin D. In: Chernyak I.
Out: Martin D.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Zhenis and Ulytau finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Zhenis
39%
Draws
31%
Ulytau
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ulytau come out ahead of Zhenis on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Zhenis Clean Sheet 68%
Ulytau Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zhenis Ulytau
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 9 10
Draws 12 9
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Premier League
Zhenis vs Ulytau
1:1
Jun 14, 2026 Premier League
Ulytau vs Zhenis
2:1
Jul 5, 2025 Premier League
Zhenis vs Ulytau
2:0
Mar 30, 2025 Premier League
Ulytau vs Zhenis
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zhenis Compare

Top Goalscorer Khaseyn M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Ulytau Compare

Top Goalscorer Zulfikarov B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zhenis 41 / 100
Ulytau 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zhenis Ulytau

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZHE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zhenis scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

Ulytau let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Solid form: Zhenis remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Zhenis VS Ulytau
1 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ordabasy17124130:1240
2Kairat Almaty18116134:1239
3FC Astana1785425:1929
4Okzhetpes1776422:2427
5Yelimay Semey1675424:1926
6Ulytau1775514:1526
7Aktobe1774622:1825
8Zhenis1756614:1921
9Atyrau1639412:1318
10Zhetysu Taldykorgan1746721:2518
11Tobol1753919:2518
12Kaisar Kyzylorda1839613:2018
13Kaspij Aktau17521015:2217
14Altai1737712:1816
15Kyzylzhar17431017:2515
16Ertis Pavlodar1718814:2211