Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zhenis vs Ulytau

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Premier League Astana Arena, Astana
Our Tip

Match Events

32'
Martins G.
43'
Kishi K.
46'
Sub
Martin D. In: Chernyak I.
Out: Martin D.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Zhenis and Ulytau finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Zhenis
15%
Draws
34%
Ulytau
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zhenis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Zhenis come out ahead of Ulytau on wins alone.
  • Zhenis are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Zhenis Clean Sheet 68%
Ulytau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zhenis Ulytau
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 7 9
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.27 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Premier League
Zhenis vs Ulytau
1:1
Jun 14, 2026 Premier League
Ulytau vs Zhenis
2:1
Jul 5, 2025 Premier League
Zhenis vs Ulytau
2:0
Mar 30, 2025 Premier League
Ulytau vs Zhenis
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zhenis Compare

Top Goalscorer Khaseyn M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Ulytau Compare

Top Goalscorer Zulfikarov B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zhenis 50 / 100
Ulytau 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zhenis Ulytau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zhenis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zhenis scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Ulytau let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Away concern: Ulytau has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Zhenis VS Ulytau
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Zhenis

(Home)
18 Sept
Okzhetpes
3 : 1
Zhenis
12 Sept
Zhenis
3 : 1
Kyzylzhar
09 Sept
Kairat Almaty
3 : 0
Zhenis
05 Sept
Aktobe
1 : 0
Zhenis
29 Aug
Zhenis
1 : 0
Altai
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Ulytau

(Away)
18 Sept
Aktobe
2 : 2
Ulytau
13 Sept
Ulytau
0 : 3
Altai
06 Sept
Tobol
3 : 1
Ulytau
29 Aug
Ulytau
3 : 0
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
15 Aug
Kairat Almaty
3 : 1
Ulytau
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ordabasy 26 19 4 3 51:18 61
2 Kairat Almaty 26 17 6 3 51:20 57
3 FC Astana 25 14 6 5 42:25 48
4 Okzhetpes 26 13 6 7 41:35 45
5 Aktobe 26 12 6 8 38:31 42
6 Yelimay Semey 25 10 8 7 35:33 38
7 Tobol 26 10 4 12 33:35 34
8 Zhenis 26 8 8 10 26:32 32
9 Ulytau 26 8 8 10 24:32 32
10 Kaspij Aktau 26 8 5 13 27:36 29
11 Ertis Pavlodar 25 6 8 11 26:34 26
12 Altai 26 6 7 13 26:36 25
13 Kaisar Kyzylorda 26 4 12 10 22:33 24
14 Kyzylzhar 26 6 6 14 26:40 24
15 Atyrau 25 4 11 10 18:28 23
16 Zhetysu Taldykorgan 26 5 7 14 26:44 22
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027 (Main)