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Zhetisay vs Akademiya Ontustik

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League 2025 Stadion Kazhymukan Munaitpasov
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Karzhau A.
34'
Sub
Karzhau A. In: Turdybaev N.
Out: Karzhau A.
46'
Sub
Alkaydarov S. In: Nyshantay D.
Out: Alkaydarov S.

AI Match Summary

The First League 2025 game between Zhetisay and Akademiya Ontustik finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Akademiya Ontustik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Zhetisay
17%
Draws
70%
Akademiya Ontustik
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Akademiya Ontustik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Akademiya Ontustik come out ahead of Zhetisay on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Akademiya Ontustik's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Zhetisay Clean Sheet 10%
Akademiya Ontustik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zhetisay Akademiya Ontustik
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 15
Draws 4 4
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1 1.88
Goals Conceded 2 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 16, 2025 First League
Akademiya Ontustik vs Zhetisay
3:1
Jul 11, 2025 First League
Zhetisay vs Akademiya Ontustik
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zhetisay Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Akademiya Ontustik Compare

Top Goalscorer Amantayev M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nyshantay D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zhetisay 14 / 100
Akademiya Ontustik 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zhetisay Akademiya Ontustik

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AKO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Zhetisay scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Akademiya Ontustik has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Zhetisay remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Zhetisay VS Akademiya Ontustik
1 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 88%
33% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kaspij Aktau26222274:2768
2Ertis Pavlodar26194371:2061
3Altai26174554:2355
4Shakhter Karagandy26165561:3453
5Zhetisay261331044:3542
6Kairat Almaty 2261241058:4240
7Akademiya Ontustik261231144:4439
8Taraz261051143:3835
9AKAS261031342:3933
10FC Ekibastuz26841436:6028
11SD Family26721733:7523
12Khan Tengri26531827:5518
13Aktobe 226371634:6516
14Turkistan26232116:809