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Zhetisay vs Akzhayik Uralsk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First Division 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Abylaykhan R.
43' Event
Omarbek A.
45'
Mukhituly K.

AI Match Summary

The First Division 2024 game between Zhetisay and Akzhayik Uralsk finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zhetisay.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Zhetisay
15%
Draws
51%
Akzhayik Uralsk
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Akzhayik Uralsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Zhetisay carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Zhetisay taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Zhetisay Clean Sheet 20%
Akzhayik Uralsk Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zhetisay Akzhayik Uralsk
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 16 7
Draws 4 3
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 1.71 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2024 First League
Zhetisay vs Akzhayik Uralsk
3:0
May 16, 2024 First League
Akzhayik Uralsk vs Zhetisay
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zhetisay Compare

Top Goalscorer Abylaykhan R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Omarbek A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Akzhayik Uralsk Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zhetisay 42 / 100
Akzhayik Uralsk 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zhetisay Akzhayik Uralsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Zhetisay scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Akzhayik Uralsk has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Akzhayik Uralsk registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zhetisay VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Zhetisay

(Home)
24 Oct
Zhetisay
1 : 1
Taraz
16 Oct
Akademiya Ontustik
3 : 1
Zhetisay
03 Oct
Zhetisay
1 : 2
Altai
26 Sept
Zhetisay
2 : 1
AKAS
19 Sept
Shakhter Karagandy
5 : 0
Zhetisay
Page 1 of 7

Akzhayik Uralsk

(Away)
25 Oct
FC Ekibastuz
3 : 0
Akzhayik Uralsk
17 Oct
Akzhayik Uralsk
0 : 3
Ulytau
11 Oct
Akzhayik Uralsk
1 : 0
Aktobe 2
03 Oct
Kaspij Aktau
3 : 0
Akzhayik Uralsk
27 Sept
Arys
0 : 1
Akzhayik Uralsk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Okzhetpes 28 20 3 5 61:16 63
2 Ulytau 28 19 3 6 69:29 60
3 Kaspij Aktau 28 18 4 6 63:29 58
4 Kairat Almaty 2 28 18 3 7 67:43 57
5 Khan Tengri 28 17 4 7 55:30 55
6 FC Ekibastuz 28 16 3 9 54:36 51
7 Zhetisay 28 14 6 8 50:37 48
8 Taraz 28 12 5 11 37:34 41
9 Altai 28 11 5 12 31:37 38
10 SD Family 28 9 4 15 53:64 31
11 Akzhayik Uralsk 28 7 3 18 24:48 24
12 Kaisar Kyzylorda 2 28 5 7 16 23:56 22
13 Turkistan 28 4 7 17 26:70 19
14 Aktobe 2 28 3 3 22 25:73 12
15 Arys 28 5 4 19 28:64 10
16 FK Kyran 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
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