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Zhetisay vs FC Ekibastuz

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Abaev F.
39'
Sub
Kulmaganbetov A. In: Madelkhan B.
Out: Kulmaganbetov A.
40'
Kasain A.

AI Match Summary

The First League 2025 game between Zhetisay and FC Ekibastuz finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zhetisay.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Zhetisay
39%
Draws
30%
FC Ekibastuz
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Ekibastuz haven't matched Zhetisay's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular First League 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Zhetisay have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Zhetisay Clean Sheet 18%
FC Ekibastuz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zhetisay FC Ekibastuz
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 9
Draws 4 5
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1 0.63
Goals Conceded 2 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2025 First League
Zhetisay vs FC Ekibastuz
3:1
May 23, 2025 First League
FC Ekibastuz vs Zhetisay
0:1
Aug 16, 2024 First League
Zhetisay vs FC Ekibastuz
3:2
May 30, 2024 First League
FC Ekibastuz vs Zhetisay
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zhetisay Compare

Top Goalscorer Abylaykhan R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sarbay E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

FC Ekibastuz Compare

Top Goalscorer Abaev F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zhetisay 32 / 100
FC Ekibastuz 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zhetisay FC Ekibastuz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Ekibastuz let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Zhetisay scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: Zhetisay stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zhetisay VS FC Ekibastuz
1 Goals Scored 0.63
2 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Zhetisay

(Home)
24 Oct
Zhetisay
1 : 1
Taraz
16 Oct
Akademiya Ontustik
3 : 1
Zhetisay
03 Oct
Zhetisay
1 : 2
Altai
26 Sept
Zhetisay
2 : 1
AKAS
19 Sept
Shakhter Karagandy
5 : 0
Zhetisay
Page 1 of 6

FC Ekibastuz

(Away)
16 Jul
FC Ekibastuz
0 : 2
Shakhter Karagandy
10 Jul
FC Ekibastuz
2 : 4
Kairat Almaty 2
02 Jul
Khan Tengri
1 : 3
FC Ekibastuz
26 Jun
FC Ekibastuz
1 : 1
FC Astana 2
18 Jun
Tobol 2
3 : 3
FC Ekibastuz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kaspij Aktau26222274:2768
2Ertis Pavlodar26194371:2061
3Altai26174554:2355
4Shakhter Karagandy26165561:3453
5Zhetisay261331044:3542
6Kairat Almaty 2261241058:4240
7Akademiya Ontustik261231144:4439
8Taraz261051143:3835
9AKAS261031342:3933
10FC Ekibastuz26841436:6028
11SD Family26721733:7523
12Khan Tengri26531827:5518
13Aktobe 226371634:6516
14Turkistan26232116:809
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