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Zhlobin vs Gorki

Belarus Belarus

Division 2 - Group B
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Khaustovich V.
61' Event
Latyshev Y.
67' Event
Krutenko K.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Group B game between Zhlobin and Gorki finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gorki.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Zhlobin
15%
Draws
49%
Gorki
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gorki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Gorki carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Gorki taking it.
  • Regular Division 2 - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Gorki have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Zhlobin Clean Sheet 10%
Gorki Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zhlobin Gorki
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 11
Draws 1 5
Losses 23 15
Goals Scored 1.03 1.35
Goals Conceded 4.1 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2020 Division 2 - Group B
Zhlobin vs Gorki
0:3
Apr 18, 2020 Division 2 - Group B
Gorki vs Zhlobin
3:1
May 29, 2013 Belarusian Cup
Gorki vs Zhlobin
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zhlobin Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Gorki Compare

Top Goalscorer Khaustovich V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Latyshev Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zhlobin 26 / 100
Gorki 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zhlobin Gorki

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gorki Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Zhlobin's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Gorki's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

Away concern: Gorki has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Zhlobin VS Gorki
0.5 Goals Scored 1.38
3.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Zhlobin

(Home)
28 May
Stanles Pinsk
3 : 2
Zhlobin
24 Oct
Zhlobin
3 : 2
Chayka Zelva
17 Oct
Chayka Zelva
3 : 0
Zhlobin
10 Oct
Viktoria Maryina Gorka
3 : 2
Zhlobin
26 Sept
Zhlobin
1 : 4
SMIavtotrans Smolevichi
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Gorki

(Away)
31 May
Gorki
0 : 1
Ostrovets
28 May
Gorki
1 : 2
FK Baranovici
24 Oct
Gorki
2 : 1
Brest Malorita
17 Oct
Brest Malorita
6 : 0
Gorki
10 Oct
Gorki
1 : 1
BumProm Gomel
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dnepr Mogilev 20 19 0 1 105:9 57
2 Petrikov 20 16 1 3 80:16 49
3 Osipovichi 20 12 1 7 44:35 37
4 Gorki 20 10 5 5 35:21 35
5 Viktoria Maryina Gorka 20 9 4 7 43:37 31
6 ML Vitebsk 20 9 3 8 46:45 30
7 SMIavtotrans Smolevichi 20 8 2 10 45:53 26
8 BumProm Gomel 20 7 3 10 29:51 24
9 Polotsk 20 4 1 15 27:78 13
10 Energetik-BGATU 20 2 3 15 28:59 9
11 Zhlobin 20 2 1 17 14:92 7
Promotion - Division 2 - Promotion Group (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 - Promotion Group (Main)
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Promotion - Division 2 - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 - Play Offs (Main)