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Zhodino vs Naftan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belarus Belarus

Vysshaya Liga Stadion Torpedo, Zhodino
Mon, Oct 19, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zhodino host Naftan in the Vysshaya Liga. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Zhodino have averaged 1.25 scored and 1.29 conceded recently, against Naftan's 1 scored and 2.25 conceded. Head-to-head, Zhodino have won 4 to Naftan's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on May 29, 2026, ending 0:4. Model xG sits at 1.81 vs 1.69, favoring Zhodino. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Zhodino
15%
Draws
49%
Naftan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Naftan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Zhodino have won more games recently than Naftan.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Zhodino taking it.
  • Regular Vysshaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Zhodino have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Zhodino Clean Sheet 13%
Naftan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zhodino Naftan
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 4
Draws 6 7
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.25 1
Goals Conceded 1.29 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Naftan vs Zhodino
0:4
Sep 25, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Zhodino vs Naftan
4:2
May 12, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Naftan vs Zhodino
0:3
Sep 29, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Naftan vs Zhodino
1:1
May 12, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Zhodino vs Naftan
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zhodino 35 / 100
Naftan 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zhodino Naftan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Naftan let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Zhodino scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Naftan lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zhodino VS Naftan
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Zhodino

(Home)
03 Oct
Zhodino
1 : 2
Torpedo Moscow
20 Sept
Vitebsk
6 : 0
Zhodino
12 Sept
Neman
1 : 0
Zhodino
05 Sept
Zhodino
1 : 2
FC Gomel
30 Aug
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
2 : 4
Zhodino
Page 1 of 6

Naftan

(Away)
19 Sept
Slavia Mozyr
0 : 1
Naftan
13 Sept
BATE
2 : 2
Naftan
06 Sept
Naftan
0 : 3
FC Minsk
02 Sept
Din. Minsk
5 : 1
Naftan
28 Aug
Vitebsk
2 : 0
Naftan
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Isloch Minsk 22 13 6 3 37:18 45
2 ML Vitebsk 21 12 8 1 42:17 44
3 Din. Minsk 21 13 4 4 37:16 43
4 Dynamo Brest 24 13 4 7 39:23 43
5 FC Gomel 23 11 6 6 33:18 39
6 Neman 22 11 4 7 26:20 37
7 Vitebsk 23 10 6 7 28:21 36
8 FC Minsk 23 10 4 9 30:28 34
9 Zhodino 22 7 6 9 28:29 27
10 Slavia Mozyr 22 6 7 9 23:26 25
11 FK Baranovici 23 6 7 10 24:38 25
12 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 24 5 8 11 24:42 23
13 Belshina 22 5 6 11 22:36 21
14 BATE 22 3 9 10 16:27 18
15 Dnepr Mogilev 23 2 10 11 20:36 16
16 Naftan 23 3 5 15 20:54 14
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga 2027 (Main)