Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zhodino Yuzhnoe vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

Belarus Belarus

Pershaya Liga 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

31'
Zhevnerov E.
40' Event
Ageev A.
46'
Sub
Mikhailov A. In: Gerasimov M.
Out: Mikhailov A.

AI Match Summary

The Pershaya Liga 2023 game between Zhodino Yuzhnoe and Arsenal Dzerzhinsk finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arsenal Dzerzhinsk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Zhodino Yuzhnoe
6%
Draws
4%
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Zhodino Yuzhnoe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Zhodino Yuzhnoe have managed 0 goals a game lately — Arsenal Dzerzhinsk are scoring more at 1.75.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Zhodino Yuzhnoe taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Zhodino Yuzhnoe Clean Sheet 17%
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zhodino Yuzhnoe Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 13
Draws 5 6
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 0 1.75
Goals Conceded 0 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2023 Pershaya Liga
Zhodino Yuzhnoe vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
0:2
May 14, 2023 Pershaya Liga
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk vs Zhodino Yuzhnoe
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zhodino Yuzhnoe Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Ageev A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gerasimov M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zhodino Yuzhnoe 84 / 100
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zhodino Yuzhnoe Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZHO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zhodino Yuzhnoe found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Defensive concern: Arsenal Dzerzhinsk conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

Zhodino Yuzhnoe went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Arsenal Dzerzhinsk32263386:3081
2Dnepr Mogilev32227375:2473
3Vitebsk32234568:2273
4Lokomotiv Gomel32195855:4062
5ML Vitebsk32194984:5261
6FK Baranovici321461246:4948
7Zhodino Yuzhnoe321371262:5246
8Volna Pinsk321271341:4943
9Niva Dolbizno321251553:6641
10FK Lida321251544:4841
11Molodechno321181351:5641
12Ostrovets321091354:6239
13BumProm Gomel321081445:6238
14Orsha32871750:6231
15FC Slonim32572026:6322
16Petrikov32642233:7222
17Osipovichi32122921:855