Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zibens Zemessardze vs Jelgava

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga 2007
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zibens Zemessardze in this 1. Liga 2007 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zibens Zemessardze.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Zibens Zemessardze
15%
Draws
37%
Jelgava
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zibens Zemessardze

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Zibens Zemessardze have won more games recently than Jelgava.
  • Model gives Zibens Zemessardze a 48% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Zibens Zemessardze Clean Sheet 17%
Jelgava Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zibens Zemessardze Jelgava
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 12 9
Draws 8 10
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 2.13 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2008 1. Liga
Zibens Zemessardze vs Jelgava
2:1
Jul 19, 2008 1. Liga
Jelgava vs Zibens Zemessardze
2:2
Oct 27, 2007 1. Liga
Zibens Zemessardze vs Jelgava
5:1
Jul 22, 2007 1. Liga
Jelgava vs Zibens Zemessardze
3:1
Sep 3, 2006 1. Liga
Zibens Zemessardze vs Jelgava
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zibens Zemessardze 84 / 100
Jelgava 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zibens Zemessardze Jelgava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zibens Zemessardze Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jelgava let in goals in 83% of their last 36 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Zibens Zemessardze found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Zibens Zemessardze went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Jelgava
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Zibens Zemessardze

(Home)
08 Nov
Liepajas Metalurgs 2
1 : 5
Zibens Zemessardze
01 Nov
Zibens Zemessardze
2 : 1
Jelgava
25 Oct
Abuls
1 : 10
Zibens Zemessardze
18 Oct
Zibens Zemessardze
0 : 2
Jauniba
04 Oct
FC Jurmala
3 : 2
Zibens Zemessardze
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Jelgava

(Away)
19 Sept
Jelgava
0 : 1
Riga FC
12 Sept
Grobina
0 : 0
Jelgava
05 Sept
Jelgava
0 : 1
Super Nova
29 Aug
Tukums 2000
1 : 4
Jelgava
22 Aug
Ogre United
2 : 3
Jelgava
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