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Zidgrad Idrija vs Bistrc - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - West 2025/2026
Zidgrad Idrija Logo

Zidgrad Idrija

3 - 2
FT
Bistrc Logo

Bistrc

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3. SNL - West 2025/2026 game between Zidgrad Idrija and Bistrc finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zidgrad Idrija.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Zidgrad Idrija
20%
Draws
29%
Bistrc
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Zidgrad Idrija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Bistrc haven't matched Zidgrad Idrija's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Zidgrad Idrija's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular 3. SNL - West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Zidgrad Idrija Clean Sheet 20%
Bistrc Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zidgrad Idrija Bistrc
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 6
Draws 4 6
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 1.28 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.86 2.6
Expected Goals (xG) 2.17 1.10
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 3. SNL - West
Bistrc vs Zidgrad Idrija
3:3
Nov 8, 2025 3. SNL - West
Zidgrad Idrija vs Bistrc
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zidgrad Idrija 85 / 100
Bistrc 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zidgrad Idrija Bistrc

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zidgrad Idrija Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bistrc has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 5.50 goals when they meet.

Zidgrad Idrija found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Recent resilience: Zidgrad Idrija stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zidgrad Idrija VS Bistrc
1 Goals Scored 1.33
0.88 Goals Conceded 3.33
38% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Zidgrad Idrija

(Home)
03 Oct
Zidgrad Idrija
2 : 4
Sencur
26 Sept
Zidgrad Idrija
1 : 3
Dob
20 Sept
Fama Vipava
2 : 3
Zidgrad Idrija
12 Sept
Zidgrad Idrija
2 : 1
Adria Miren
05 Sept
Litija
0 : 0
Zidgrad Idrija
Page 1 of 6

Bistrc

(Away)
23 May
Bistrc
3 : 3
Zidgrad Idrija
16 May
Skofja Loka
3 : 4
Bistrc
09 May
Bistrc
1 : 3
IB 1975 Ljubljana
02 May
Izola
5 : 0
Bistrc
25 Apr
Bistrc
0 : 3
Vrhnika
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vrhnika 26 17 5 4 63:21 56
2 Sencur 26 16 6 4 46:27 54
3 Dob 26 15 5 6 54:29 50
4 Tolmin 26 14 3 9 47:33 45
5 Izola 26 12 6 8 53:39 42
6 Rudar Trbovlje 26 11 8 7 56:39 41
7 IB 1975 Ljubljana 26 11 3 12 35:44 36
8 Sobec Lesce 26 10 6 10 31:32 36
9 Skofja Loka 26 7 9 10 37:42 30
10 Ziri 26 7 6 13 30:52 27
11 Fama Vipava 26 6 8 12 28:42 26
12 Ljubljana Svoboda 26 6 5 15 30:51 23
13 Zidgrad Idrija 26 6 4 16 34:57 22
14 Bistrc 26 5 4 17 35:71 19
Promotion - 2. SNL (Main)