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Zidgrad Idrija vs Izola

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - West 2025/2026
Zidgrad Idrija Logo

Zidgrad Idrija

1 - 3
FT
Izola Logo

Izola

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3. SNL - West 2025/2026 game between Zidgrad Idrija and Izola finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Izola.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Zidgrad Idrija
15%
Draws
46%
Izola
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Izola

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Izola carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Izola's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular 3. SNL - West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Zidgrad Idrija Clean Sheet 10%
Izola Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zidgrad Idrija Izola
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 18
Draws 4 5
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 1.29 2.79
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 3. SNL - West
Zidgrad Idrija vs Izola
1:3
Sep 28, 2025 3. SNL - West
Izola vs Zidgrad Idrija
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zidgrad Idrija 10 / 100
Izola 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zidgrad Idrija Izola

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Izola Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Zidgrad Idrija went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Zidgrad Idrija scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Izola's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Zidgrad Idrija VS Izola
1.63 Goals Scored 4.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Zidgrad Idrija

(Home)
20 Sept
Fama Vipava
2 : 3
Zidgrad Idrija
12 Sept
Zidgrad Idrija
2 : 1
Adria Miren
05 Sept
Litija
0 : 0
Zidgrad Idrija
29 Aug
Sobec Lesce
1 : 2
Zidgrad Idrija
22 Aug
IB 1975 Ljubljana
0 : 2
Zidgrad Idrija
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Izola

(Away)
19 Sept
Tolmin
0 : 1
Izola
12 Sept
Izola
5 : 2
Sencur
05 Sept
Dob
0 : 3
Izola
29 Aug
Izola
11 : 0
Fama Vipava
21 Aug
Adria Miren
2 : 4
Izola
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vrhnika 26 17 5 4 63:21 56
2 Sencur 26 16 6 4 46:27 54
3 Dob 26 15 5 6 54:29 50
4 Tolmin 26 14 3 9 47:33 45
5 Izola 26 12 6 8 53:39 42
6 Rudar Trbovlje 26 11 8 7 56:39 41
7 IB 1975 Ljubljana 26 11 3 12 35:44 36
8 Sobec Lesce 26 10 6 10 31:32 36
9 Skofja Loka 26 7 9 10 37:42 30
10 Ziri 26 7 6 13 30:52 27
11 Fama Vipava 26 6 8 12 28:42 26
12 Ljubljana Svoboda 26 6 5 15 30:51 23
13 Zidgrad Idrija 26 6 4 16 34:57 22
14 Bistrc 26 5 4 17 35:71 19
Promotion - 2. SNL (Main)