Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zidgrad Idrija vs Sencur

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - West 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 3. SNL - West 2025/2026 game between Zidgrad Idrija and Sencur finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sencur.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Zidgrad Idrija
35%
Draws
21%
Sencur
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Zidgrad Idrija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Zidgrad Idrija haven't matched Sencur's recent run of results.
  • 44% — that's where the model lands on Zidgrad Idrija taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Zidgrad Idrija Clean Sheet 19%
Sencur Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zidgrad Idrija Sencur
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 16
Draws 5 8
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 1.28 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 3. SNL - West
Zidgrad Idrija vs Sencur
1:2
Aug 29, 2025 3. SNL - West
Sencur vs Zidgrad Idrija
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zidgrad Idrija 67 / 100
Sencur 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zidgrad Idrija Sencur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zidgrad Idrija Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Zidgrad Idrija remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Zidgrad Idrija found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Sencur conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Zidgrad Idrija VS Sencur
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Zidgrad Idrija

(Home)
12 Sept
Zidgrad Idrija
2 : 1
Adria Miren
05 Sept
Litija
0 : 0
Zidgrad Idrija
29 Aug
Sobec Lesce
1 : 2
Zidgrad Idrija
22 Aug
IB 1975 Ljubljana
0 : 2
Zidgrad Idrija
15 Aug
Ljubljana Svoboda
0 : 1
Zidgrad Idrija
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Sencur

(Away)
12 Sept
Izola
5 : 2
Sencur
04 Sept
Sencur
0 : 0
Ziri
29 Aug
Skofja Loka
1 : 1
Sencur
22 Aug
Sencur
3 : 3
Tolmin
14 Aug
Sencur
3 : 0
IB 1975 Ljubljana
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vrhnika 26 17 5 4 63:21 56
2 Sencur 26 16 6 4 46:27 54
3 Dob 26 15 5 6 54:29 50
4 Tolmin 26 14 3 9 47:33 45
5 Izola 26 12 6 8 53:39 42
6 Rudar Trbovlje 26 11 8 7 56:39 41
7 IB 1975 Ljubljana 26 11 3 12 35:44 36
8 Sobec Lesce 26 10 6 10 31:32 36
9 Skofja Loka 26 7 9 10 37:42 30
10 Ziri 26 7 6 13 30:52 27
11 Fama Vipava 26 6 8 12 28:42 26
12 Ljubljana Svoboda 26 6 5 15 30:51 23
13 Zidgrad Idrija 26 6 4 16 34:57 22
14 Bistrc 26 5 4 17 35:71 19
Promotion - 2. SNL (Main)