Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zielona Gora vs Goczalkowice Zdroj

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Zientarski M.
17' Event
Bargiel P.
50' Event
Zientarski M.

AI Match Summary

Zielona Gora in this III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zielona Gora.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Zielona Gora
39%
Draws
30%
Goczalkowice Zdroj
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Zielona Gora has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Goczalkowice Zdroj.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Zielona Gora Clean Sheet 17%
Goczalkowice Zdroj Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zielona Gora Goczalkowice Zdroj
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 15 11
Draws 6 5
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 2 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Zielona Gora vs Goczalkowice Zdroj
5:0
Aug 9, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Goczalkowice Zdroj vs Zielona Gora
0:1
Apr 12, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Goczalkowice Zdroj vs Zielona Gora
0:0
Sep 14, 2024 III Liga - Group III
Zielona Gora vs Goczalkowice Zdroj
2:0
Apr 20, 2024 III Liga - Group III
Zielona Gora vs Goczalkowice Zdroj
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zielona Gora Compare

Top Goalscorer Zientarski M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bargiel P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Goczalkowice Zdroj Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zielona Gora 31 / 100
Goczalkowice Zdroj 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zielona Gora Goczalkowice Zdroj

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GOC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zielona Gora scored in 73% of their last 26 games.

Goczalkowice Zdroj let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Zielona Gora went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Goczalkowice Zdroj lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zielona Gora VS Goczalkowice Zdroj
2 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zielona Gora342110377:1773
2Polkowice34207764:4267
3BKS Sparta Katowice34188853:3462
4Skra Czestochowa34178968:5659
5Zaglebie II341761177:6157
6Goczalkowice Zdroj341591049:4654
7Kluczbork341571267:4352
8Warta Gorzow341571254:4752
9Gornik Zabrze II341561373:4451
10Sleza Wroclaw341471349:5749
11Woliborz341391248:4948
12Carina Gubin3412111150:5147
13Legnica II341371463:5846
14Karkonosze Jelenia Gora341291357:5645
15Polonia Nysa349101551:5837
16Starowice Dolne34762133:8127
17Pniowek Pawlowice34542528:7719
18Stal Jasien34213121:1057