Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zimbabwe U23 vs Mozambique U23

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U23 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zimbabwe U23 in this Africa Cup of Nations U23 2019 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Zimbabwe U23
20%
Draws
34%
Mozambique U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Zimbabwe U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Mozambique U23 at 1.25 per game, Zimbabwe U23 at 0.43.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Zimbabwe U23, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 21.6%
Zimbabwe U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Mozambique U23 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zimbabwe U23 Mozambique U23
Matches Played 7 8
Wins 2 2
Draws 2 1
Losses 3 5
Goals Scored 0.43 1.25
Goals Conceded 1 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2019 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Zimbabwe U23 vs Mozambique U23
2:0
Mar 22, 2019 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Mozambique U23 vs Zimbabwe U23
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zimbabwe U23 42 / 100
Mozambique U23 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zimbabwe U23 Mozambique U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mozambique U23 has conceded goals in 75% of their last 8 outings.

Zimbabwe U23 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Mozambique U23 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Zimbabwe U23 scored in 29% of their last 7 games.

Scoring Trends

Zimbabwe U23 VS Mozambique U23
0.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
25% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Zimbabwe U23

(Home)
10 Sept
Zimbabwe U23
0 : 0
South Africa U23
06 Sept
South Africa U23
5 : 0
Zimbabwe U23
26 Mar
Zimbabwe U23
2 : 0
Mozambique U23
22 Mar
Mozambique U23
0 : 0
Zimbabwe U23
13 Sept
Congo U23
0 : 1
Zimbabwe U23
Page 1 of 2

Mozambique U23

(Away)
30 Oct
Ghana U23
2 : 0
Mozambique U23
23 Oct
Mozambique U23
1 : 2
Ghana U23
27 Sept
Mauritius U23
1 : 2
Mozambique U23
24 Sept
Mozambique U23
3 : 0
Mauritius U23
26 Mar
Zimbabwe U23
2 : 0
Mozambique U23
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Angola U23 1
South Africa U23 6
Mozambique U23 0
Zimbabwe U23 2
Malawi U23 0
Zambia U23 2
Burundi U23 1
Congo U23 2
Ghana U23 4
Gabon U23 0
Equatorial Guinea U23 1
Algeria U23 3
Cameroon U23 -
Sierra Leone U23 -
South Sudan U23 0
Tunisia U23 1
Niger U23 2
Ivory Coast U23 8
Guinea U23 2
Senegal U23 1
Sudan U23 2
Kenya U23 0
Libya U23 2
Nigeria U23 4
D.R. Congo U23 0
Morocco U23 6
Ethiopia U23 1
Mali U23 5
Final
South Africa U23 5
Zimbabwe U23 0
Zambia U23 5
Congo U23 4
Ghana U23 2
Algeria U23 1
Cameroon U23 2
Tunisia U23 2
Ivory Coast U23 2
Guinea U23 2
Sudan U23 1
Nigeria U23 5
Morocco U23 1
Mali U23 2