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Zimbabwe vs D.R. Congo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations National Sports Stadium, Harare
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Match Events

25'
Kadile J.
30' Event
Wissa Y.
45' Event
Moutoussamy S.
Assist: Wissa Y.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Zimbabwe
15%
Draws
37%
D.R. Congo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zimbabwe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • D.R. Congo have won more games recently than Zimbabwe.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • D.R. Congo arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor D.R. Congo, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 53.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 7%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Zimbabwe Clean Sheet 68%
D.R. Congo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zimbabwe D.R. Congo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 17
Draws 8 4
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.24 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.96 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations
Zimbabwe vs D.R. Congo
1:2
Jun 30, 2019 Africa Cup of Nations
Zimbabwe vs D.R. Congo
0:4
Oct 16, 2018 Africa Cup of Nations
Zimbabwe vs D.R. Congo
1:1
Oct 13, 2018 Africa Cup of Nations
D.R. Congo vs Zimbabwe
1:2
Feb 26, 2009 African Nations Championship
Zimbabwe vs D.R. Congo
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zimbabwe Compare

Top Goalscorer Munetsi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.48

D.R. Congo Compare

Top Goalscorer Wissa Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Moutoussamy S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zimbabwe 42 / 100
D.R. Congo 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zimbabwe D.R. Congo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zimbabwe scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Zimbabwe has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: D.R. Congo conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Zimbabwe VS D.R. Congo
1.29 Goals Scored 1
0.86 Goals Conceded 0.63
57% Over 1.5 50%
43% Over 2.5 25%
14% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Zimbabwe

(Home)
28 Sept
Zimbabwe
1 : 2
D.R. Congo
24 Sept
Sierra Leone
2 : 3
Zimbabwe
30 May
India
0 : 1
Zimbabwe
26 May
Nigeria
2 : 0
Zimbabwe
31 Mar
Zimbabwe
1 : 0
Zambia U23
Page 1 of 6

D.R. Congo

(Away)
05 Oct
Uganda
1 : 1
D.R. Congo
02 Oct
D.R. Congo
0 : 2
Uganda
28 Sept
Zimbabwe
1 : 2
D.R. Congo
24 Sept
D.R. Congo
2 : 0
Equatorial Guinea
01 Jul
England
2 : 1
D.R. Congo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Gabon 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Niger 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
4 Lesotho 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Egypt 2 1 1 0 5:0 4
2 Angola 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
3 Malawi 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
4 South Sudan 2 0 0 2 1:7 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivory Coast 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Gambia 2 2 0 0 6:3 6
3 Somalia 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
4 Ghana 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Africa 2 2 0 0 7:1 6
2 Guinea 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Eritrea 2 0 1 1 1:6 1
4 Kenya 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 D.R. Congo 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
2 Zimbabwe 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
3 Equatorial Guinea 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
4 Sierra Leone 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benin 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
2 Burkina Faso 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
3 Mauritania 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
4 Central Africa 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cameroon 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
2 Comoros 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Namibia 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
4 Congo 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uganda 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 Botswana 2 0 2 0 4:4 2
3 Tunisia 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
4 Libya 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeria 2 1 1 0 5:3 4
2 Zambia 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
3 Togo 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
4 Burundi 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Senegal 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 Mozambique 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
3 Sudan 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
4 Ethiopia 2 0 0 2 0:2 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rwanda 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
2 Mali 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
3 Cape Verde 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
4 Liberia 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guinea Bissau 2 2 0 0 5:0 6
2 Nigeria 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
3 Tanzania 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
4 Madagascar 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)