Sport Picks

Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2025 Orlando Stadium, Johannesburg

Zimbabwe

1 - 1

Kenya

Our Tip

Match Events

29'

Omar A.

29'

Omurwa J.

32'

Maswanhise T.

Assist: Billiat K.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Africa Cup of Nations 2025 tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%

Zimbabwe

15%

Draws

37%

Kenya

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zimbabwe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence

Form's been kind to Kenya lately — more wins on the board than Zimbabwe.
37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Kenya arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Kenya, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 13%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%

Zimbabwe Clean Sheet 25%

Kenya Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Zimbabwe	Kenya
Matches Played	28	24
Wins	7	9
Draws	9	7
Losses	12	8
Goals Scored	0.89	1.29
Goals Conceded	1.14	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.31	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 15, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations

Zimbabwe vs Kenya

1:1

Sep 6, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations

Kenya vs Zimbabwe

0:0

Jul 2, 2024 COSAFA Cup

Kenya vs Zimbabwe

2:0

Mar 26, 2024 Friendly International

Zimbabwe vs Kenya

1:3

Jun 22, 2008 World Championship

Zimbabwe vs Kenya

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zimbabwe Compare

Top Goalscorer Maswanhise T.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.01

Avg xA / game 0.66

Kenya Compare

Top Goalscorer Ayunga J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zimbabwe 33 / 100

Kenya 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Zimbabwe Kenya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kenya Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Zimbabwe stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Zimbabwe's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Kenya's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 24 matches.

Scoring Trends

Zimbabwe VS Kenya

1.25 Goals Scored 0.63

1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38

75% Over 1.5 50%

50% Over 2.5 38%

13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Zimbabwe

(Home)

30 May

India

0 : 1

Zimbabwe

26 May

Nigeria

2 : 0

Zimbabwe

31 Mar

Zimbabwe

1 : 0

Zambia U23

28 Mar

Botswana

0 : 3

Zimbabwe

29 Dec

Zimbabwe

2 : 3

South Africa

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Kenya

(Away)

07 Jun

Kenya

4 : 0

Lesotho

04 Jun

Lesotho

1 : 1

Kenya

30 Mar

Grenada

0 : 3

Kenya

27 Mar

Kenya

1 : 2

Estonia

18 Nov

Senegal

8 : 0

Kenya

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