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Zimbabwe vs Namibia

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2025 Orlando Stadium, Johannesburg
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Sub
Galloway B. In: Hadebe T.
Out: Galloway B.
47'
Amutenya P.
50' Event
Musona W.
Assist: Dzvukamanja T.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Zimbabwe advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Zimbabwe
6%
Draws
4%
Namibia
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Zimbabwe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Namibia have managed 0.63 goals a game lately — Zimbabwe are scoring more at 1.25.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Zimbabwe taking it.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Zimbabwe, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Zimbabwe Clean Sheet 68%
Namibia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zimbabwe Namibia
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 7
Draws 9 10
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.25 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 14, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations
Zimbabwe vs Namibia
3:1
Oct 10, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations
Namibia vs Zimbabwe
0:1
Jul 11, 2021 COSAFA Cup
Namibia vs Zimbabwe
2:0
Nov 11, 2017 Friendly International
Namibia vs Zimbabwe
3:1
Jul 23, 2017 African Nations Championship
Zimbabwe vs Namibia
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zimbabwe Compare

Top Goalscorer Musona W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dube P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Namibia Compare

Top Goalscorer Eiseb G. S. C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zimbabwe 95 / 100
Namibia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zimbabwe Namibia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZIM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Namibia let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Zimbabwe remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Namibia's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Zimbabwe VS Namibia
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Zimbabwe

(Home)
30 May
India
0 : 1
Zimbabwe
26 May
Nigeria
2 : 0
Zimbabwe
31 Mar
Zimbabwe
1 : 0
Zambia U23
28 Mar
Botswana
0 : 3
Zimbabwe
29 Dec
Zimbabwe
2 : 3
South Africa
Page 1 of 6

Namibia

(Away)
28 Mar
Namibia
1 : 0
Comoros
25 Mar
Kazakhstan
2 : 0
Namibia
17 Nov
Comoros
4 : 0
Namibia
14 Nov
Comoros
1 : 0
Namibia
13 Oct
Tunisia
3 : 0
Namibia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Comoros63307:412
2Tunisia63127:610
3Gambia62226:68
4Madagascar60244:82
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Morocco660026:218
2Gabon63127:910
3Lesotho61142:134
4Central Africa61053:143
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Egypt642012:214
2Botswana62224:78
3Mauritania62133:67
4Cape Verde61143:74
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nigeria63219:311
2Benin62227:78
3Rwanda62225:78
4Libya61233:75
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Algeria651016:216
2Equatorial Guinea62225:88
3Togo61237:105
4Liberia61144:124
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Angola64207:214
2Sudan62224:68
3Niger62137:67
4Ghana60333:73
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zambia64117:413
2Ivory Coast640212:312
3Sierra Leone61235:105
4Chad60331:83
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1D.R. Congo64027:312
2Tanzania63125:410
3Guinea63039:59
4Ethiopia61143:124
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 9)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mali642010:114
2Mozambique63219:511
3Guinea Bissau61234:65
4Eswatini60242:132
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 10)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cameroon64208:214
2Zimbabwe62316:49
3Kenya61324:76
4Namibia60242:72
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 11)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1South Africa642016:514
2Uganda64118:513
3Congo61144:124
4South Sudan61056:123
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 12)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Senegal651010:116
2Burkina Faso631210:710
3Burundi61144:114
4Malawi61146:114
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)