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Zimbru Chisinau vs Petrocub Hincesti

Moldova Moldova

Super Liga 2025/2026 Stadionul Zimbru
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zimbru Chisinau play Petrocub Hincesti in the Super Liga 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Zimbru Chisinau averaged 2.24 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Petrocub Hincesti averaged 2.11 goals scored and 0.59 conceded. In past meetings, Zimbru Chisinau won 0, Petrocub Hincesti won 2, and they drew 3. Their last match on May 17, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Zimbru Chisinau and 1.31 for Petrocub Hincesti. This points to a Petrocub Hincesti double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Zimbru Chisinau
34%
Draws
37%
Petrocub Hincesti
Draw rate projection: 34% Favored: Petrocub Hincesti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Zimbru Chisinau picked up more points recently compared to Petrocub Hincesti.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
Zimbru Chisinau Clean Sheet 18%
Petrocub Hincesti Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zimbru Chisinau Petrocub Hincesti
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 15 19
Draws 8 5
Losses 6 3
Goals Scored 2.24 2.11
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Super Liga
Zimbru Chisinau vs Petrocub Hincesti
1:1
Apr 11, 2026 Super Liga
Petrocub Hincesti vs Zimbru Chisinau
3:0
Oct 19, 2025 Super Liga
Zimbru Chisinau vs Petrocub Hincesti
0:0
Aug 16, 2025 Super Liga
Zimbru Chisinau vs Petrocub Hincesti
1:1
Jun 29, 2025 Super Liga
Petrocub Hincesti vs Zimbru Chisinau
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zimbru Chisinau Compare

Top Goalscorer Cojocari S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Petrocub Hincesti Compare

Top Goalscorer Popescu P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zimbru Chisinau 30 / 100
Petrocub Hincesti 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zimbru Chisinau Petrocub Hincesti

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Petrocub Hincesti or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +38%
4.76
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Zimbru Chisinau attacking → ← attacking Petrocub Hincesti

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zimbru Chisinau scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Petrocub Hincesti let in goals in 48% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Zimbru Chisinau went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Petrocub Hincesti lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

53 Points in last 5 62
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Petrocub Hincesti1081120:340
2Sheriff Tiraspol1072114:534
3Zimbru Chisinau1053218:1132
4Milsami102355:1319
5CSF Balti102264:1516
6Dacia Buiucani100196:202