Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zira FK 2 vs Neftci Baku 2

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

First Division 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Abazarov A.
66' Event
Farmanov T.

AI Match Summary

The First Division 2022/2023 game between Zira FK 2 and Neftci Baku 2 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Zira FK 2
35%
Draws
49%
Neftci Baku 2
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Neftci Baku 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Neftci Baku 2 come out ahead of Zira FK 2 on wins alone.
  • Neftci Baku 2 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Zira FK 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Neftci Baku 2 Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zira FK 2 Neftci Baku 2
Matches Played 34 36
Wins 7 22
Draws 10 6
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 1.09 2.42
Goals Conceded 1.65 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2023 I Liqa
Zira FK 2 vs Neftci Baku 2
1:1
Nov 9, 2022 I Liqa
Neftci Baku 2 vs Zira FK 2
3:0
May 1, 2022 I Liqa
Neftci Baku 2 vs Zira FK 2
1:0
Dec 7, 2021 I Liqa
Zira FK 2 vs Neftci Baku 2
2:2
Oct 25, 2019 I Liqa
Zira FK 2 vs Neftci Baku 2
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zira FK 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Farmanov T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Neftci Baku 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Abazarov A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zira FK 2 10 / 100
Neftci Baku 2 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zira FK 2 Neftci Baku 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Neftci Baku 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zira FK 2 found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (34 games).

Neftci Baku 2 let in goals in 72% of their last 36 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Zira FK 2 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zira FK 2 VS Neftci Baku 2
0.75 Goals Scored 3
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Zira FK 2

(Home)
23 May
Zira FK 2
2 : 2
Shamakhi 2
18 May
Imisli FK
1 : 1
Zira FK 2
13 May
Zira FK 2
0 : 2
Qarabag Agdam 2
03 May
Zaqatala PFK
3 : 0
Zira FK 2
26 Apr
Zira FK 2
1 : 1
Neftci Baku 2
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Neftci Baku 2

(Away)
23 May
MOIK Baku
2 : 4
Neftci Baku 2
16 May
Neftci Baku 2
2 : 1
Araz PFK
09 May
Gabala 2
1 : 1
Neftci Baku 2
03 May
Neftci Baku 2
2 : 2
Turan 2
26 Apr
Zira FK 2
1 : 1
Neftci Baku 2
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Araz PFK 28 22 3 3 69:22 69
2 Neftci Baku 2 28 18 5 5 67:32 59
3 Turan 2 28 15 3 10 49:37 48
4 Sabail 2 28 13 5 10 46:44 44
5 Gabala 2 28 12 8 8 45:28 44
6 Zaqatala PFK 28 13 5 10 49:48 44
7 Kapaz 2 28 13 4 11 41:36 43
8 MOIK Baku 28 12 7 9 43:42 43
9 Lokbatan 28 12 5 11 30:23 41
10 Shamakhi 2 28 11 4 13 40:56 37
11 Qarabag Agdam 2 28 9 4 15 32:39 31
12 Zira FK 2 28 6 10 12 28:41 28
13 SumQayit FK 2 28 6 4 18 36:60 22
14 Mingachevir 28 5 5 18 29:51 20
15 Imisli FK 28 6 2 20 21:66 20
Promotion - Premier League 2023/2024 (Main)