Sport Picks

Azerbaijan

Premier League Zira Stadium

Zira FK

2 - 1

SumQayit FK

Our Tip

Match Events

19'

Ruan Renato

(Penalty)

35'

Aydin E.

36'

Sub

Feyziyev K. In: Ramalingom A.

Out: Feyziyev K.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Zira FK and SumQayit FK finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zira FK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Zira FK

39%

Draws

31%

SumQayit FK

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Zira FK carry the better recent record into this one.
39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Zira FK here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%

Zira FK Clean Sheet 68%

SumQayit FK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Zira FK	SumQayit FK
Matches Played	34	31
Wins	12	11
Draws	14	4
Losses	8	16
Goals Scored	1	1.5
Goals Conceded	0.63	1.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.63	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Premier League

Zira FK vs SumQayit FK

Possession: 54% - 40% Cards: 3 - 3

2:1

Mar 3, 2026 Azerbaijan Cup

Zira FK vs SumQayit FK

Possession: 44% - 55% Cards: 3 - 2

2:0

Feb 8, 2026 Premier League

SumQayit FK vs Zira FK

Possession: 40% - 47% Cards: 2 - 0

2:3

Feb 4, 2026 Azerbaijan Cup

SumQayit FK vs Zira FK

Possession: 50% - 52% Cards: 2 - 2

0:0

Oct 25, 2025 Premier League

Zira FK vs SumQayit FK

Possession: 59% - 55% Cards: 3 - 2

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zira FK Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

SumQayit FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramalingom A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zira FK 41 / 100

SumQayit FK 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Zira FK SumQayit FK

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZIR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 3:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zira FK's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

SumQayit FK's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Zira FK stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zira FK VS SumQayit FK

1 Goals Scored 1.5

0.63 Goals Conceded 1.75

63% Over 1.5 88%

13% Over 2.5 75%

13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sabah Baku	33	24	6	3	75:25	78
2	Qarabag Agdam	33	21	6	6	71:27	69
3	Turan	33	17	8	8	44:27	59
4	Neftci Baku	33	16	11	6	57:32	59
5	Zira FK	33	13	14	6	43:36	53
6	Araz PFK	33	13	7	13	44:58	46
7	SumQayit FK	33	12	5	16	45:49	41
8	Shamakhi	33	9	11	13	31:40	38
9	Imisli FK	33	7	13	13	23:43	34
10	Kapaz	33	8	3	22	25:61	27
11	Gabala	33	7	6	20	32:49	27
12	Karvan	33	3	6	24	23:66	15